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Ties That Bind - Bay Area Council Economic Institute

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72<br />

<strong>Ties</strong> <strong>That</strong> <strong>Bind</strong><br />

as global brands and entering the U.S., but that is several years away for all but the largest companies<br />

and even then, political obstacles are likely to slow the process.<br />

Internet Services<br />

0DUNHW (QYLURQPHQW<br />

No society, not even the U.S., has embraced the internet with the speed and scale that China has,<br />

and Silicon Valley has been an integral part of the growth story. The PRC has 111 million internet<br />

users, half of them with broadband service. Most are young, and use the Internet primarily<br />

for messaging, online chat, blogs and gaming. By 2010, that number is expected to grow to 232<br />

million, according to Shanghai-based iResearch, a market research firm.<br />

China’s Internet Services Market Size<br />

(in renminbi billions)<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

12.8<br />

2004<br />

18<br />

2005<br />

24.5<br />

2006 est.<br />

Market size increased<br />

41% from 2004 to<br />

2005, and it is<br />

estimated to grow an<br />

additional 36%<br />

from 2005 to the end of<br />

2006.<br />

Source:<br />

Analysis International<br />

2006<br />

Like many developing countries, China has leapfrogged conventional wire-line phone service due<br />

to the high infrastructure costs involved, and focused development support on wireless. At the<br />

end of April 2006 the PRC had 416 million subscribers, according to government figures, adding<br />

59 million new subscribers—more than the population of Italy—in 2005, and 23.2 million in the<br />

first four months of 2006. China is expected to spend $35–40 billion to deliver third-generation<br />

(3G) wireless service nationwide in time for the 2008 Olympics, based on a newly developed<br />

TD-SCDMA network standard for the country’s two state-owned wireless providers, China Mobile<br />

and China United Telecommunications, plus wire-line provider China Telecommunications.<br />

The carriers are expected to spend a combined $12 billion.

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