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Presentation to the analysts and investors - Lafarge

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12<br />

I – Supply<br />

� Net actual capacity increases result from a variety of fac<strong>to</strong>rs<br />

� Producers try <strong>to</strong> anticipate or even preempt growth <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

modernize obsolete equipment<br />

� Closure of old production equipment (VSK, wet kilns)<br />

� Temporary downtime or mothballing capacity<br />

� Over <strong>the</strong> last three months, we have seen players accelerating<br />

<strong>the</strong> rate of plant closures <strong>and</strong> delays in launching new capacity<br />

<strong>to</strong> adjust <strong>to</strong> market <strong>and</strong> financing conditions<br />

� Taking in<strong>to</strong> account cancellations announced,<br />

<strong>to</strong>tal net supply trends <strong>to</strong>wards 3.1 billion <strong>to</strong>ns in 2009,<br />

versus 2.9 billion <strong>to</strong>ns in 2007<br />

� Current capacity additions are concentrated for 2008 <strong>and</strong> 2009<br />

in China, India, MENA, <strong>and</strong> Latin America<br />

� For 2010, capacity additions are more diversified;<br />

new suspensions or delays <strong>to</strong> be expected

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