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Presentation to the analysts and investors - Lafarge

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21<br />

III - In What Conditions Could <strong>the</strong> Current Slow<br />

Down Significantly Impact our Industry?<br />

� In any case, <strong>the</strong> impact is not likely <strong>to</strong> happen on a global basis in<br />

our business<br />

� All <strong>to</strong>ns are not equal<br />

� Size of <strong>the</strong> potential surplus will be manageable<br />

� Locally, we have seen imbalances in <strong>the</strong> past<br />

� Today’s conditions do not favor it<br />

� High production costs will push FOB prices up<br />

� Financing constraints limit <strong>the</strong> capacity of cement producers <strong>to</strong><br />

export at marginal costs<br />

� Similarly, import facilities are more difficult <strong>to</strong> finance<br />

� Lack of forex visibility might hamper exporters, traders <strong>and</strong> potential<br />

cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

� Some local situations bear watching

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