Land Use Plan – 2002 - Stanly County, North Carolina

STANLY COUNTY
APPENDIX B: BUILD-OUT SCENARIO POPULATION CALCULATIONS
The following calculations were used to determine the build-out population for Stanly County.
The build-out population represents the potential population that could inhabit Stanly County if all
land not presently used for residential, commercial, industrial, parks, or public/semi-public uses
(i.e., agricultural and wooded areas) were developed as residential areas.
Steps used in the process to define this calculation include the following:
1. Table B-1 identifies developable land within the study area for the Land Use Plan. This area
does not include undeveloped land within municipal corporation lines or ETJs. This
information is based on an existing land use inventory and analysis completed by Woolpert
LLP in conjunction with Existing Conditions Analysis of the Land Use Plan (Phase 1 Report).
Table B-1. Agricultural and Wooded Areas in Stanly County, 2000.
Land Use Category Acres
Agriculture 63,542
Wooded Areas 89,048
Total Agriculture and Wooded Areas 152,590
Sources: Stanly County GIS Aerial Photography, April 2000.
Analysis by Woolpert LLP, 2001.
2. Table B-2 identifies acreage totals for land that would be developed for non-residential
purposes. Generally these land uses support residential development patterns and include
set-asides for transportation and utility rights-of-way and easements, as well as retail
commercial, office, public (parks and schools), and semi-public (e.g., churches) uses.
Table B-2. Provisions for Non-Residential Development.
Land Use Category Acres
Total Agriculture and Wooded Areas 152,590
� Less land area for rights-of-way and public easements.
Based on assumption that 15 percent of all land will be used for rights-ofways
and utility easements.
-22,889
� Less land area for retail/commercial, industrial, community facilities
and other non-residential development.
Based on assumption that 5 percent of all land area will be used for these
land uses.
-7,630
� Less set-aside for parks and recreational facilities.
Based on National Parks and Recreation Association (NRPA) standard of 10
acres of park for every 1,000 person, or 0.0253 acres per household,
assuming 2.53 persons per household based on 2000 U.S. Census figures
for Stanly County. Assumes development density in R-A, Residential-
Agricultural Zoning District, of one dwelling unit/acre, or 0.0253 acres of
parkland for each acre of residentially-developed land.
-3,861
Total Remaining Residential Development Yield
Sources: Stanly County GIS Aerial Photography, April 2000.
Analysis by Woolpert LLP, 2001.
118,210
Land Use Plan B-1 6/02