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RLB_UK_Riders_Digest_2013

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<strong>UK</strong> CONSTRUCTION TRENDS<br />

Market Outlook <strong>2013</strong>:<br />

It’s always comforting to think that the year<br />

ahead will be better than the year just past.<br />

And the latest survey from the RICS does<br />

suggest that surveyors see an improvement<br />

in workloads coming in <strong>2013</strong> - unfortunately<br />

much of that improvement may well be down<br />

to winning more work abroad to keep talented<br />

employees in the <strong>UK</strong> busy.<br />

Whilst this work will contribute to income<br />

in certain sectors, it doesn’t mean the <strong>UK</strong><br />

construction market is improving.<br />

The latest figures for construction output show<br />

the industry is continuing to shrink and data<br />

released in January is consistent with a total fall<br />

in 2012 of greater than 8%.<br />

That would be the fourth largest annual collapse<br />

in construction since records started in 1955 -<br />

indicators suggest the industry will shrink further<br />

as this year progresses, which is in line with<br />

industry forecasts.<br />

The construction industry accounts for 10% of<br />

the <strong>UK</strong>’s GDP and is worth £100 billion. The<br />

construction sector is investment led and is<br />

therefore susceptible to economic downturns<br />

and is inevitably going to be further affected by<br />

the on-going effects of the global financial crisis.<br />

According to the Chancellor’s Autumn<br />

Statement in December 2012, forecasts for<br />

economic growth in the <strong>UK</strong> are as follows:<br />

1.2% in <strong>2013</strong>, 2% in 2014, 2.3% 2015, 2.7% in<br />

2016 and 2.8% in 2017. However, even in 2017<br />

economic activity will not have recovered to prerecessionary<br />

levels.<br />

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