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Abstracts with Programs - Geological Society of America

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SESSION NO. 6<br />

reported from areas proximal (< 25 km) to the study area and thus could potentially be hazardous<br />

to populations and properties. This will largely depend on the adopted building codes and<br />

engineering designs for urban settlements in the study area.<br />

6-4 9:00 AM El Kadiri, Racha [218564]<br />

STATISTICAL AND REMOTE SENSING BASED APPROACH TO DETERMINE DEBRIS FLOWS<br />

TRIGGERING FACTORS<br />

EL KADIRI, Racha1 , SULTAN, Mohamed1 , BECKER, Richard2 , KRAWCZYK, Malgorzata1 ,<br />

AL HARBI, Talal1 , and CHOUINARD, Kyle J. 1 , (1) Department <strong>of</strong> Geosciences, Western<br />

Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI 49008, racha.elkadiri@wmich.edu, (2) Department <strong>of</strong><br />

Environmental Sciences, University <strong>of</strong> Toledo, 2081 Bancr<strong>of</strong>t Ave, Toledo, OH 43606<br />

Debris flows represent a significant ecosystem disturbance, particularly in Jazan Mountains in<br />

Saudi Arabia. The area is subjected to intense precipitation levels related to Indian monsoons and<br />

high relief (up to 2.5 km a.m.s/l). We were able to characterize the spatial conditions that have<br />

controlled the occurrence <strong>of</strong> debris flows events in the area due to the advancement <strong>of</strong> remote<br />

sensing and geographic information systems. We extracted terrain characteristics in the area<br />

from remote sensing datasets, and used them as proxies to the different debris flows triggering<br />

factors. The remote sensing based parameters enable us to construct a weighted model that is<br />

calibrated against field based observations. The extracted criteria that enable us to control slope<br />

instability for shallow debris flows are: slope angle, elevation, topographic wetness index (TWI),<br />

stream power index (SPI), convergence index (CI), aspect, soil roughness, normalized difference<br />

vegetation index (NDVI), flow accumulation index, and manmade feature distribution.<br />

6-5 9:40 AM Mohamed, Lamees [218288]<br />

STRUCTURAL CONTROL OF GROUNDWATER FLOW, SOUTHERN SINAI, EGYPT: REMOTE<br />

SENSING CONSTRAINTS<br />

MOHAMED, Lamees, Geosciences, WMU, Kalamazoo, 49008, lamees.m.mihamed@<br />

wmich.edu, SULTAN, Mohamed, Geosciences, Western Michigan University, 1903 W.<br />

Michigan Ave, Kalamazoo, MI 49008-5241, and ZAKI, Abotalib, Geosciences, WMU,<br />

Kalamazoo, MI 49008<br />

The distribution <strong>of</strong> dikes and shear zones, their orientation, thickness, and density together <strong>with</strong><br />

the rate and persistency <strong>of</strong> rainfall, absorptive characteristics <strong>of</strong> the land surface, permeability<br />

<strong>of</strong> the reservoir rocks, and slope gradient <strong>of</strong> land surface are the main factors that control<br />

the groundwater distribution and groundwater flow in southern Sinai. Precipitation generally<br />

occurs over the highly elevated Proterozoic basement rocks, and is channeled down stream as<br />

surface run<strong>of</strong>f in the valleys (wadis) or as groundwater flow in the alluvium aquifers flooring the<br />

valleys. Fractured basement can act as conduits for groundwater flow as well. We examined the<br />

temporal variations in backscattering values extracted from radar imagery to identify the waterbearing<br />

shear zones, dyke swarms, and valleys in the study area (southern Sinai). The adopted<br />

procedures were as follows: (1) spatial and temporal precipitation events over the basement<br />

complex were identified from Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data; a major<br />

precipitation event (34 mm) that occurred on January, 17 2010 was identified and selected for this<br />

analysis, (2) the shear zones and dyke swarms <strong>with</strong>in the study area were delineated using false<br />

color Landsat band and band ratio images, (3) four Envisat ASAR (Advanced Synthetic Aperture<br />

Radar radar) scenes were selected, one before (November, 11 2009 ) and three after (20January<br />

2010, 5 February 2010 , and 12 March 2010) the identified precipitation event, (4) the four images<br />

were co-registered, orbital corrected, multilooked, filtered, radiometric calibrated and at last beta<br />

& sigma nought images were produced.<br />

Examining the generated backscattering images revealed that following a rain event, the<br />

water bearing dikes, shear zones, and valleys show evidence <strong>of</strong> retaining more water (high<br />

backscattering) than their surroundings. Ongoing research will focus on applying these findings to<br />

map all such aquifers in southern Sinai and to further test our findings by conducting geophysical<br />

techniques.<br />

6-6 10:00 AM Ahmed, Mohamed [218224]<br />

MONITORING AQUIFER DEPLETION FROM SPACE: CASE STUDIES FROM NUBIAN<br />

SANDSTONE AQUIFER IN EGYPT AND THE SAQ AQUIFER IN SAUDI ARABIA<br />

AHMED, Mohamed, SULTAN, Mohamed, and ALHARBI, Talal, Geosciences, Western<br />

Michigan University, 1903 W. Michigan Ave, Kalamazoo, MI 49008, mohamed.ahmed@<br />

wmich.edu<br />

In arid and semi-arid regions <strong>of</strong> the world the demand for fresh water resources is increasing due<br />

to increasing populations and scarcity <strong>of</strong> fresh water supplies. Examples <strong>of</strong> these regions include<br />

the Middle East countries where the scarcity <strong>of</strong> fresh water is contributing to political instability,<br />

disputes, and conflicts. Many <strong>of</strong> these countries are blessed by having large amounts <strong>of</strong> fresh<br />

water stored in non-renewable and widely distributed aquifers. The majority <strong>of</strong> these aquifers<br />

remain poorly investigated for the following reasons: (1) their locations in the less-developed<br />

parts <strong>of</strong> the world, (2) the general inaccessibility <strong>of</strong> many <strong>of</strong> these regions, and (3) difficulties<br />

in collecting background information. Given the previous reasons, we developed an integrated<br />

approach to investigate the hydrologic setting <strong>of</strong> two main fresh water aquifers, the Nubian<br />

Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS; area: 493 x 103 km2 ) in Egypt and the Saq Aquifer System<br />

(SAS; area: 489 x 103 km2 ) in Saudi Arabia. Specifically, we are addressing aquifer response to<br />

natural climatic and anthropogenic effects. Monthly (01/2003 – 09/2012) Gravity Recovery and<br />

Climate Experiment (GRACE) data was processed (destriped, Gaussian smoothed, and soil<br />

moisture removed) and used in conjunction <strong>with</strong> other relevant datasets to investigate aquifer<br />

depletion rates. Results indicate: (1) both NSAS and SAS are experiencing declining GRACE<br />

trends, (2) time series analyses show a negligible changes between GRACE before and after<br />

removing soil moisture indicating that the main drivers for GRACE anomalies are the groundwater<br />

extraction activities, (3) areas <strong>with</strong> negative GRACE trends are highly spatially correlated <strong>with</strong><br />

irrigated areas, (4) the annual depletion rates based on GRACE data for the NSAS and SAS is<br />

estimated at 1.8 x 109 m3 (3.6 mm/yr) and 2.3 x 109 m3 (4.8 mm/yr) respectively, and (5) GRACE<br />

results are consistent <strong>with</strong> the reported groundwater extraction rates for both aquifers. Given the<br />

available temporal monthly GRACE solutions for the past eleven years, the global coverage <strong>of</strong><br />

this data set, and the plans underway for the deployment <strong>of</strong> a GRACE follow-On and GRACE-II,<br />

we suggest that <strong>with</strong>in the next few years, GRACE will probably become the most practical,<br />

informative, and cost effective procedure for monitoring aquifer depletion rates across the globe.<br />

8 2013 GSA <strong>Abstracts</strong> <strong>with</strong> <strong>Programs</strong><br />

6-7 10:20 AM Zmijewski, Kirk A. [218406]<br />

USING GRACE DATA TO MONITOR EFFECTS OF ANTHROPOGENIC MODIFICATION AND<br />

CLIMATE CHANGE ON GROUNDWATER IN THE ARAL SEA REGION: 2002-2012<br />

ZMIJEWSKI, Kirk A., Department <strong>of</strong> Environmental Sciences, University <strong>of</strong> Toledo, 2081<br />

Bancr<strong>of</strong>t Ave, Toledo, OH 43606, kirk.zmijewski@rockets.utoledo.edu and BECKER,<br />

Richard H., Department <strong>of</strong> Environmental Sciences, University <strong>of</strong> Toledo, 2801 West<br />

Bancr<strong>of</strong>t Ave, Toledo, OH 43606<br />

The Aral Sea watershed located in central Asia has seen significant anthropogenic modification<br />

since the mid 20th century, leading to a decrease in size <strong>of</strong> the sea by almost 90%. The watershed<br />

is a closed basin <strong>with</strong> an area <strong>of</strong> almost 2 million square kilometers which includes both the Amu<br />

Darya and Syr Darya river systems. A network <strong>of</strong> canals and channels has diverted a significant<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> flow from both rivers into various agricultural areas and reservoirs. Groundwater is<br />

an extremely important resource in the region providing the majority <strong>of</strong> river flow during winter<br />

months, while glacial melt provides up to 70% during the summer months in hot years.<br />

GRACE (Gravity and Climate Experiment) data from 2002-2012 was used to monitor total water<br />

storage trends <strong>with</strong>in the basin using a linear model. The data was normalized <strong>with</strong> an annual<br />

periodic function to remove seasonality. The GLDAS (Global Land Data Assimilation Systems)<br />

model was used to estimate the monthly mass <strong>of</strong> soil moisture and snow cover. Total surface<br />

water mass was estimated using satellite imagery and historical topographic maps.<br />

Much <strong>of</strong> the water diverted from the Syr Darya and Amu Darya remains stored as groundwater<br />

recharge and growing artificial lakes which supports the regions agriculture. However, the<br />

water balance <strong>of</strong> the whole watershed shows an overall negative trend in water storage due to<br />

evaporative losses from these diversions. A positive trend in groundwater storage mass was<br />

observed in agricultural areas and in the vicinity <strong>of</strong> the reservoirs in the central part <strong>of</strong> the basin.<br />

Opposite trends were observed in the headwaters <strong>of</strong> both glacial-fed rivers <strong>with</strong>in the Aral Sea<br />

basin. Total summer time snow cover area was determined for both rivers using Landsat imagery.<br />

An increase in total snow/ice cover in the Amu Darya headwaters was observed and a decrease<br />

in total snow/ice in the Syr Darya. The Amu Darya receives precipitation from the South Asian<br />

Monsoon which has increased in the last decade. The more northern headwaters <strong>of</strong> the Syr<br />

Darya River receive continental precipitation <strong>of</strong> which previous studies have shown no significant<br />

trends, but an increase <strong>of</strong> 1-2 degrees C over the past century may explain loss in mass due to<br />

glacial ablation. Future water and food security in the region depends on accurate monitoring and<br />

predictions <strong>of</strong> water resources in the future.<br />

6-8 10:40 AM Becker, Richard H. [218495]<br />

THE STALLED RECOVERY OF THE MESOPTAMIAN MARSHES<br />

BECKER, Richard H., Department <strong>of</strong> Environmental Sciences, University <strong>of</strong> Toledo,<br />

2801 West Bancr<strong>of</strong>t Ave, Toledo, OH 43606, richard.becker@utoledo.edu<br />

The Mesoptamian Marshes, an extensive wetlands system in Iraq which once covered roughly<br />

twice the area <strong>of</strong> the Florida Everglades, has been heavily impacted by both human and climate<br />

forces over the past decades. In the period leading up to the Second Gulf War in 2002, the<br />

marshlands were shrinking due to both a policy <strong>of</strong> draining and water diversion, and construction<br />

<strong>of</strong> dams upstream on the Euphrates in Turkey. Following the war through 2006, this trend was<br />

reversed as the diversions were removed and active draining stopped. The recovery reached<br />

its peak in 2006, but the marshes have been drying since, due to droughts and increased water<br />

storage upstream.<br />

A combination <strong>of</strong> MODIS, Landsat and GRACE datasets were used to determine if the change<br />

in water storage both in above ground and total storage both upriver in the Tigris and Euphrates<br />

watersheds, and in the Marshlands. This change in total water storage is used to help partition<br />

the changes between upstream retention and overall drying <strong>of</strong> the system. The Grace datasets<br />

show a gradual decrease in total water in the source water regions for the Euphrates over the<br />

period <strong>of</strong> 2002-2010, and a sharp change from increasing water surface area and mass to losing<br />

in the lower portion <strong>of</strong> the watershed containing the marshes in 2006. This suggests that the dam<br />

removal and decrease in pumping only provided a temporary respite for the marshlands and<br />

that their future is tied more strongly to any climate changes that will affect recharge in the upper<br />

Tigris-Euphrates system.<br />

SESSION NO. 7, 8:00 AM<br />

Thursday, 2 May 2013<br />

Geoscience Education (Posters)<br />

Schneider Hall, Courtyard<br />

7-1 BTH 1 Lane, Joe [218508]<br />

USING THE HISTORY OF RESEARCH ON THE PHENOMENON OF PLATE TECTONICS TO<br />

HELP STUDENTS BETTER APPRECIATE THE NATURE OF SCIENCE<br />

LANE, Joe, Mallinson Institute for Science Education, Western Michigan University,<br />

1903 West Michigan Avenue, Kalamazoo, MI 49008, joseph.m.lane@wmich.edu<br />

This paper provides the reader <strong>with</strong> a detailed history on the phenomenon <strong>of</strong> plate tectonics,<br />

which focuses on the German scientist, Alfred Wegener. Wegener proposed that throughout<br />

most <strong>of</strong> geologic time there was only one continental mass, and one ocean. To strengthen his<br />

argument, Wegener drew perspectives from numerous scientific fields, as well as past works from<br />

specific scientists. This paper is designed as an educational instrument in order for students to<br />

examine the physical processes that our planet has undergone over, long, geologic periods <strong>of</strong><br />

time. Students are presented <strong>with</strong> a Scientific Benchmark, stressing the importance that: ‘science<br />

is in fact one vast single system, in which everything in the universe occurs in consistent patterns<br />

that are comprehensible through careful, systematic study.’ This argument includes information on<br />

the need to explore the work <strong>of</strong> scientists; as well as, the essential characteristics that scientists<br />

must obtain when investigating our natural world. It is the primary purpose <strong>of</strong> this paper to inform<br />

students <strong>of</strong> the importance <strong>of</strong> scientific advancements and to illustrate the benefits <strong>of</strong> using<br />

history to support a better understanding <strong>of</strong> the nature <strong>of</strong> science.

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