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Scientific Theme: Advanced Modeling and Observing Systems

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CIRES in 2006-2007: Contributions to NOAA’s Strategic Vision<br />

Contributions to NOAA’s Strategic Vision<br />

Cross-cutting, interdisciplinary research priorities within CIRES complement NOAA‘s current Five-Year Research<br />

Plan priorities, which aim to enhance the underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> prediction the of Earth‘s environment. The Five-Year<br />

Research Plan reflects NOAA‘s response to some of the nation‘s most challenging environmental needs, as<br />

identified in the 20-Year Research Vision, <strong>and</strong> supports the four mission goal areas identified in the NOAA<br />

Strategic Plan – Ecosystems, Climate, Weather <strong>and</strong> Water, <strong>and</strong> Commerce <strong>and</strong> Transportation. The following are<br />

examples of CIRES research that supports NOAA‘s mission goals.<br />

Ecosystem Mission Goal: Protect, restore, <strong>and</strong><br />

manage the use of coastal <strong>and</strong> ocean resources<br />

through ecosystem based management.<br />

CIRES contributes to the ecosystem mission goal through<br />

observations <strong>and</strong> research on habitat, ecosystems, <strong>and</strong><br />

extreme events. Toward this goal, CIRES is a valuable<br />

contributor to research on ocean temperature <strong>and</strong> climate.<br />

CIRES researchers are diagnosing impacts of changes in<br />

tropical sea surface temperature over the last 50 years, <strong>and</strong><br />

determining sensitivity to past <strong>and</strong> future temperature<br />

changes in different parts of the tropical oceans. Using a<br />

satellite retrieval method recently developed by ESRL<br />

researchers, CIRES is creating a multi-year global oceanic data set of near-surface temperatures <strong>and</strong> humidity.<br />

Crossing disciplines, CIRES is evaluating data on ocean warming to assess the possibility of abrupt climate change<br />

over North America, <strong>and</strong> using global chemistry/dynamics models to examine the effect of future ship traffic in the<br />

Arctic northern passages on Arctic pollution.<br />

Ecosystem management includes the assessment of potential hazards based on the collection <strong>and</strong> interpretation of<br />

environmental data. CIRES is developing a U.S. Tsunami Hazard Assessment that will describe tsunami sources <strong>and</strong><br />

estimate tsunami frequency based on historical <strong>and</strong> geological tsunami data.<br />

Climate Mission Goal: Underst<strong>and</strong> climate variability<br />

<strong>and</strong> change to enhance society’s ability to plan <strong>and</strong><br />

respond.<br />

CIRES is a respected leader in areas of climate science research<br />

relevant to NOAA‘s climate mission goal. Researchers at CIRES<br />

have contributed substantially towards climate observations,<br />

analysis, <strong>and</strong> predictions; climate forcing; <strong>and</strong> climate effects on<br />

ecosystems across various spatial <strong>and</strong> temporal scales. Basic<br />

research at CIRES has advanced our underst<strong>and</strong>ing of observed<br />

long-term climate variations <strong>and</strong> recent unexpected changes,<br />

especially in the polar regions. Spatially, CIRES‘ vast research<br />

spans from the sea surface, l<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> ice to the lower <strong>and</strong> upper<br />

atmospheres <strong>and</strong> space environment.<br />

CIRES develops methods <strong>and</strong> processes for integrating multiple<br />

types of climate research data, <strong>and</strong> making the data more<br />

streamlined <strong>and</strong> accessible to facilitate interoperability within the scientific community for the purpose of<br />

knowledge extraction, data quality control <strong>and</strong> validation, <strong>and</strong> trend detection. Tools are also being created for the<br />

public <strong>and</strong> policy makers to increase access to climate science information <strong>and</strong> forecast products.<br />

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