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User's guide of Proceessing Modflow 5.0

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146 Processing <strong>Modflow</strong><br />

PIVAL and WEIGHT. The former is the value <strong>of</strong> the right side <strong>of</strong> the prior information<br />

equation. The latter is the weight pertaining to the article <strong>of</strong> prior information in the<br />

parameter estimation process. The weight should be inversely proportional to the standard<br />

deviation <strong>of</strong> the prior information value (PIVAL); it can be zero if you wish, but not be<br />

negative. The following lines show some examples, refer to Doherty et al. (1994) for more<br />

details on the prior information. In PMWIN, the parameter name <strong>of</strong> the first parameter is P1.<br />

The parameter name <strong>of</strong> the second parameter is P2 and so on.<br />

1.0 * log(P1) + 1.2 * log(P2) = -5.6 1.0<br />

1.0 * P1 + 1.455 * P2 - 3.98 * P3 + 2.123 * P4 = 1.03E-3 2.00<br />

2.12 * P3 + 3.2 * P6 = 1.344 2.20<br />

< Control Data<br />

The control data are used to set internal array dimensions <strong>of</strong> PEST and tune the<br />

optimization algorithm to the problem at hand. The items <strong>of</strong> the control data are described<br />

in details below. When in doubt, you should use the default values given by PMWIN.<br />

- RLAMBDA1 is the initial Marquardt lambda. PEST attempts parameter improvement<br />

using a number <strong>of</strong> different Marquardt lambdas during any one optimization iteration. In<br />

the course <strong>of</strong> the overall parameter estimation process, the Marquardt lambda generally<br />

gets smaller. An initial value <strong>of</strong> 1.0 to 10.0 is appropriate for many models, though if<br />

PEST complains that the normal matrix is not positive definite, you will need to provide<br />

a higher initial Marquardt lambda. For high values <strong>of</strong> the Marquardt parameter (and<br />

hence <strong>of</strong> the Marquardt lambda) the parameter estimation process approximates the<br />

gradient method <strong>of</strong> optimization. While the latter method is inefficient and slow if used<br />

for the entire optimization process, it <strong>of</strong>ten helps in getting the process started, especially<br />

if initial parameter estimates are poor. PEST reduces lambda if it can. However if the<br />

normal matrix is not positive definite or if a reduction in lambda does not lower the<br />

objective function, PEST has no choice but to increase lambda.<br />

- RLAMFAC is the factor by which the Marquardt lambda is adjusted. RLAMFAC must<br />

be greater than 1.0. When PEST reduces lambda it divides by RLAMFAC; when it<br />

increases lambda it multiplies by RLAMFAC.<br />

- PHIRATSUF is the first criterion for moving to the next optimization iteration. During<br />

any one optimization iteration, PEST tries lots <strong>of</strong> parameter sets and will consider that<br />

the goal <strong>of</strong> the iteration has been achieved if<br />

M i<br />

M i&1<br />

# PHIRATSUF<br />

3.6.5 PEST (Inverse Modeling)<br />

(3.53)

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