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WiMax Operator's Manual

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CHAPTER 3 ■ STRATEGIC PLANNING OF SPECTRUM AND SERVICES 49<br />

could automatically accommodate itself to changes in bandwidth allocations on the part of<br />

governing bodies. Termed frequency-agile radios or software-defined radios, such products will<br />

in most cases be able to select a modulation system as well.<br />

Software-defined radios exist today, and at least a score of companies are active in this<br />

area, but no one is making a WiMAX-certified product conforming to the 802.16a standard, and<br />

in fact most sales to date have been to military organizations. The majority of software-defined<br />

radios made thus far have utilized costly field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) and have not<br />

met the price requirements of network operators. Incidentally, several have combined fre-<br />

quency agility with an adaptive array antenna using the extreme processing power provided by<br />

the FPGAs to perform multiple functions.<br />

Frequency agility is unquestionably desirable in governmental applications. It provides a<br />

radio operator with a means of concealing a transmission and evading jamming, and it allows<br />

safety personnel to contact all relevant agencies over whatever frequencies have been allotted<br />

to them. But in a commercial setting where relatively few bands can be legally occupied by any<br />

individual network operator, the need for such flexibility is unclear at present. Many advocates<br />

of software-defined radios look forward to a day when radio spectrum is brokered and made<br />

available to consortia of network operators as needed, with payments automatically being<br />

made to license holders or with bandwidth being swapped among participating networks<br />

within a peering relationship. Such a grand schema would certainly result in much more efficient<br />

use of spectrum than is presently the case, but it is difficult to envision how multiple<br />

networks with countless users could all coordinate their transmissions so as to avoid interference.<br />

Everyone would have to be equipped with an intelligent radio, and each radio would<br />

have to connect to an overarching computing grid devoted to the management of all available<br />

spectrum.<br />

I will not speculate further as to how or even if such a virtual organism could come into<br />

being, and I do not see even the beginnings of such a regime occurring within this decade.<br />

Nonetheless, some degree of frequency agility will manifest itself in the lower microwave<br />

regions within five years, and most likely it will involve subscriber terminals utilizing 802.11,<br />

802.16, and 3G mobile networks as the situation warrants and in accordance with roaming<br />

agreements among a relatively few incumbent carriers.<br />

Software-defined and frequency-agile radios will undoubtedly influence both spectrum<br />

use and the posture of regulatory bodies over time, and they will greatly alter the situation of<br />

network operators by making significantly more spectrum available to them, perhaps in<br />

amounts approaching 1 gigahertz. Eventually the increase in available bandwidth will expand<br />

the uses to which the network may be put and will open the possibility of the network operator<br />

offering a wide range of high-fidelity multimedia content as well as simple high-speed access<br />

and LAN extensions. At the same time, I caution broadband wireless operators today not to<br />

predicate their business plans upon the imminent arrival of such technology in the marketplace.<br />

That may be years away, and in the meantime operators will have to adapt their business<br />

to relatively scanty bandwidth.<br />

I will now add a final word on current throughput constraints in the lower microwave<br />

regions and how they may be overcome in the future by technologies other than softwaredefined<br />

radios and the related adaptive array antennas. Over the course of the next several<br />

years, radios will steadily increase their ability to resolve signals in the face of greater and<br />

greater amounts of noise and interference and in their ability to reconstruct information that<br />

has dropped below the noise floor. These abilities will allow operators to pack more and more<br />

information into a signal by increasing the number of discrete phase and amplitude states

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