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Soner Bekleric Title of Thesis: Nonlinear Prediction via Volterra Ser

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2.2. LINEAR PROCESS 9<br />

In the z-domain the model becomes<br />

X(z) = G(z)E(z) (2.4)<br />

where G(z) is the transfer function, and E(z) is the z-transform <strong>of</strong> the white noise<br />

process (innovations).<br />

The transfer function G(z) can be approximated by rational function in the<br />

z−transform domain:<br />

I can rewrite the equation (2.4) as follows<br />

G(z) = B(z)<br />

. (2.5)<br />

A(z)<br />

X(z) = B(z)<br />

E(z) . (2.6)<br />

A(z)<br />

The latter, when mapped back to time, is represented as follows:<br />

p<br />

q<br />

xn + aixn−i = εn + biεn−i . (2.7)<br />

i=1<br />

i=1<br />

When all the coefficients bi = 0 the last expression is <strong>of</strong>ten called an autoregressive<br />

model <strong>of</strong> order p, AR(p) (Box and Jenkins, 1970; Makhoul, 1975; Chatfield, 1989).<br />

Otherwise, when all ai = 0 then the model called a Moving Average (MA) model.<br />

The developed algorithm is written in MATLAB.<br />

Linear prediction models for time series modeling use linear autoregressive mod-<br />

els. Figure 2.1 represents the infinite impulse response (IIR) <strong>of</strong> an AR model.

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