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Soner Bekleric Title of Thesis: Nonlinear Prediction via Volterra Ser

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3.3. 1-D SYNTHETIC AND REAL DATA EXAMPLES 44<br />

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(a) (a) (b)<br />

(c)<br />

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(d) (e)<br />

Amplitude<br />

−2 0 2<br />

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(e) (f)<br />

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Figure 3.6: Arctic Oscillation data for standardized nonlinear sea-level pressures for<br />

comparison <strong>of</strong> prediction between linear prediction theory and third order <strong>Volterra</strong><br />

series. (a) Original data. (b) <strong>Prediction</strong> using a third-order <strong>Volterra</strong> series (p = 10,<br />

q = 10, and r = 10). (c) The error between the original data and the third-order<br />

<strong>Volterra</strong> prediction. (d) <strong>Prediction</strong> using the first-order <strong>Volterra</strong> series, which is<br />

equivalent to linear prediction (p = 10). (e) The error between the original data<br />

and a linear prediction.

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