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Soner Bekleric Title of Thesis: Nonlinear Prediction via Volterra Ser

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3.3. 1-D SYNTHETIC AND REAL DATA EXAMPLES 45<br />

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(a)<br />

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(d)<br />

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Figure 3.7: Arctic Oscillation data for standardized nonlinear sea-level pressures.<br />

(a) Original data. (b) <strong>Prediction</strong> using a third-order <strong>Volterra</strong> series with parameters<br />

p = 10, q = 10, and r = 10. (c) Contribution from the linear part. (d) Contribution<br />

from the quadratic part. (e) Contribution from the cubic part. (f) Contribution<br />

from both quadratic and cubic parts (q = 10, and r = 10).

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