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Soner Bekleric Title of Thesis: Nonlinear Prediction via Volterra Ser

Soner Bekleric Title of Thesis: Nonlinear Prediction via Volterra Ser

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2.3. LINEAR PREDICTION 10<br />

E(z) 1<br />

X(z)<br />

A(z)<br />

Figure 2.1: AR IIR filter representation. After Makhoul (1975) and Ulrych and<br />

Sacchi (2005).<br />

2.3 Linear <strong>Prediction</strong><br />

The relationship between input/output for a linear time -invariant system is given<br />

by the classical convolution integral (Rugh, 1981; Oppenheim and Schafer, 1989;<br />

Schetzen, 2006),<br />

y(n) =<br />

∞<br />

−∞<br />

h(σ)x(n − σ)dσ . (2.8)<br />

In the last expression h(σ) is the impulse response <strong>of</strong> the system or kernel function<br />

that defines the input x(n) /output y(n) <strong>of</strong> the system.<br />

Equation 2.8 is <strong>of</strong>ten used in the discrete form. The convolution integral is<br />

replaced by a convolution sum and signals are replaced by a finite length discrete<br />

time series:<br />

yn =<br />

N<br />

aixn−i . (2.9)<br />

i=1<br />

The latter is the discrete convolution sum that arises very frequently in geophysics<br />

and other sciences. It basically relates the output <strong>of</strong> a system that is excited with<br />

an input signal xn <strong>via</strong> the convolution <strong>of</strong> the signal with the impulse response <strong>of</strong><br />

the system, in this case called an.<br />

In linear prediction theory, one attempts to predict a signal by its past values<br />

(or future values) by replacing the output signal yn by a future (one step ahead)

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