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KAMDHENU ISPAT LIMITED - Securities and Exchange Board of India

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A. Construction<br />

As a part <strong>of</strong> the shelter component <strong>of</strong> the national agenda, the government has estimated a shortage <strong>of</strong> 13 lakh<br />

houses in rural <strong>and</strong> 7 lakh in the urban areas in <strong>India</strong>.<br />

Construction activity is also on an upswing due to a surge in retail development with shopping malls <strong>and</strong> multiplexes.<br />

This is due to rising disposable incomes among the middle class <strong>India</strong>ns <strong>and</strong> availability <strong>of</strong> cheap finance. The<br />

construction activities are also getting modernized <strong>and</strong> there is a steady departure from the traditional brick <strong>and</strong><br />

mortar format to steel intensive <strong>and</strong> composite structures. In <strong>India</strong>, the future for steel intensive construction is<br />

promising. With steep rise in the l<strong>and</strong> prices <strong>and</strong> the high population density, cities are growing vertically <strong>and</strong> new<br />

generation steel multi-stories seem to be the future in congested metros. Composite flyovers <strong>and</strong> bridges at crowded<br />

metros <strong>and</strong> busy highways can be cost-effective solutions – <strong>and</strong> the trend has already begun.<br />

Steel-intensive/steel-concrete composite bridges became the preferred options since the mid eighties after the<br />

publication <strong>of</strong> BS 5400 codes. In UK today, 35% <strong>of</strong> total bridges built are composite constructions. Even minor items<br />

like steel rod reinforced dividers, crash barriers <strong>and</strong> wire meshes to prevent cattle <strong>and</strong> humans from venturing onto<br />

high-speed modern highways are now used in a big way. Steel intensive multi-storied car parks can provide quick<br />

solutions to congested metros. Cities <strong>of</strong> Mumbai, Delhi <strong>and</strong> Bangalore are building rail based mass rapid transit<br />

systems (underground or on elevated steel reinforced concrete pillars) to take care <strong>of</strong> the urban traffic problem.<br />

The experienced <strong>and</strong> developed western economies are taking maximum advantage <strong>of</strong> increased usage <strong>of</strong> steel in<br />

construction. For example in the UK, more than 90% <strong>of</strong> single storey buildings are steel framed <strong>and</strong> about half <strong>of</strong><br />

these are portal frames. In 1991-92, steelwork construction in the UK had a market share <strong>of</strong> 59%, in Sweden <strong>of</strong> 50%<br />

<strong>and</strong> in Netherl<strong>and</strong>s 26% in commercial construction. In industrial buildings, the market share <strong>of</strong> steelwork construction<br />

is reported to be between 77-92% in the UK, Sweden, Netherl<strong>and</strong>s, Spain, Belgium <strong>and</strong> France. The situation in<br />

USA <strong>and</strong> Japan is almost similar. [Source: www.steelworld.com]<br />

Trends in <strong>India</strong> generally mirror global trends <strong>and</strong> the use <strong>of</strong> steel in construction is no exception. This phenomenon<br />

is set to grow at an exponential rate in coming years as <strong>India</strong> witnesses its own construction boom. Even today, glass<br />

<strong>and</strong> steel buildings in industrial <strong>and</strong> IT hubs <strong>of</strong> Gurgaon, Bangalore, Mumbai <strong>and</strong> Hyderabad are visible.<br />

B. Infrastructure<br />

There has been a tremendous need for total infrastructure revolution in the post liberalization era. The government’s<br />

focus on the golden quadrilateral road project, the proposed modernization <strong>and</strong> expansion <strong>of</strong> the country’s ports <strong>and</strong><br />

the planned expansion <strong>of</strong> the railway network – are all potential dem<strong>and</strong> generators for the industry. Like most <strong>of</strong> the<br />

developed countries with a solid infrastructure base, we need to adopt the steel intensive or steel-concrete composite<br />

construction route. The National Highway Development Project has increased allocation from Rs. 65.14 billion to<br />

Rs. 93.20 billion <strong>and</strong> an additional Rs. 55 billion for the National Urban Renewal Mission.<br />

The fillip given to modernizing <strong>India</strong>’s infrastructure will lead to an upsurge in dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> long products for use in<br />

roads, bridges <strong>and</strong> highways <strong>and</strong> related steel requirements. The use <strong>of</strong> MRTS to solve urban traffic congestion<br />

problems will also require huge amounts <strong>of</strong> steel, especially mild steel products.<br />

CRIS INFAC has also forecast the industrial investment to increase by 70% over the next five years compared with<br />

the past five years. The average annual investment is expected to increase from Rs.380bn over the past five years<br />

(98-99 to 03-04) to Rs.630bn over the next five years (04- 05 to 08-09). These massive investments are expected to<br />

result in construction dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> Rs.100bn from industrial projects.<br />

Unlike flat products, long products do not mirror the economic conditions <strong>of</strong> a country. They are fairly independent <strong>of</strong><br />

whether the economy is in recession or is in a boom phase. Growth <strong>of</strong> long products is driven by certain policy<br />

decisions <strong>and</strong> the progression <strong>of</strong> a nation’s development.<br />

C. Dem<strong>and</strong> Generators<br />

Global Factors<br />

· Global steel dem<strong>and</strong> is rising on the back <strong>of</strong> accelerated infrastructure activity in China, CIS <strong>and</strong> <strong>India</strong>, housing<br />

boom in the USA, <strong>and</strong> the resurgence <strong>of</strong> white goods in Europe. In the recent recessionary phase, the industry<br />

has consolidated in terms <strong>of</strong> ownership <strong>and</strong> moth balling <strong>of</strong> inefficient capacities. Therefore, steel prices are<br />

expected to firm up further.<br />

· For the first time in last 20 years, there is worldwide dem<strong>and</strong> growth for steel.<br />

· In US, dem<strong>and</strong> is led by the booming housing industry. Additionally the auto industry too is showing signs <strong>of</strong><br />

recovery.<br />

· In Europe, there is dem<strong>and</strong> from a buoyant housing <strong>and</strong> white goods industry.<br />

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