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Neil D. Burgess, Paul Harrison, Peter Sumbi, James Laizer, Adam ...

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MANAGEMENT ISSUES: TANZANIA’S COASTAL FORESTS 2011<br />

4.4 Threat Prioritization<br />

Degradation and loss of Coastal Forests and associated habitats and the species that they support is a<br />

result of a wide range of natural and man-made causes interacting at different levels and intensities on<br />

the east African Coastal Forest ecosystems. An estimated 60% of natural habitats in the EACFE have<br />

been converted over time to farmland and urban areas. Stakeholders have identified three-quarters of<br />

the remaining Coastal Forest areas to be highly or very highly threatened.<br />

A methodology developed by The Nature Conservancy in the USA was applied in September and<br />

December 2006 to prioritize threats in the Coastal Forests ecoregion. Threats were ranked in terms of:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Area. How wide an area does the threat affect? Is it going to affect the entire area or just a small part<br />

of it?<br />

Intensity. How strong is the impact of the threat on a given piece of habitat, ecosystem service or<br />

wildlife population? Will it destroy it completely? Or will it cause only minor damage?<br />

Urgency. How urgent is the action to deal with the threat? Is the threat occurring now? Or is it only<br />

likely to be important in future years?<br />

Table 19: Ranked threats in the coastal forest ecoregion (WWF Eastern African Coastal<br />

ForestsProgramme 2006).<br />

Threat<br />

Criteria<br />

Area Severity Urgency<br />

Conversion to agriculture 14 14 14 42 V HIGH<br />

Increased demand for fuelwood (charcoal,<br />

firewood)<br />

Total<br />

Rank<br />

13 12 13 38 V HIGH<br />

Infrastructure development 10 13 10 33 HIGH<br />

Unsustainable logging (timber, poles) 12 9 12 33 HIGH<br />

Uncontrolled fire 11 8 11 30 HIGH<br />

Over-harvesting of wood for carving 8 7 9 24 MED<br />

Unsustainable hunting (legal & illegal) 9 5 8 22 MED<br />

Conversion for salt pans, aquaculture 6 11 5 22 MED<br />

Mining 5 10 6 21 MED<br />

Adverse climate change 7 6 2 15 MED<br />

Unsustainable collection for trade 4 3 7 14 LOW<br />

Vegetation destruction by elephants 2 4 4 10 LOW<br />

Invasive species 3 1 3 7 LOW<br />

Effluent pollution 1 2 1 4 LOW<br />

4.4.1 Expanding agriculture<br />

The most important threat facing the natural habitats of eastern Africa, and the Coastal Forests, is the<br />

expansion of agriculture. In general the soils of coastal east Africa are poor and cannot easily support<br />

settled agriculture. Coastal agriculture traditionally takes the form of short-term shifting cultivation,<br />

concentrating on food crops such as cassava and maize, along with some banana, papaya and coconut.

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