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Research 350 - NZ Transport Agency

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ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT BENEFITS OF TRANSPORT INVESTMENT<br />

SCBA provides for a measure of the net economic benefits associated with a given project, i.e.<br />

benefits (the sum of producer and consumer surpluses) are netted off against social<br />

opportunity costs (e.g. construction costs, operational costs) to produce a project NPV (and,<br />

by derivation, a BCR). Ultimately, this activity could be expected to affect GDP, though such<br />

effects are not an output of SCBA.<br />

However I-O analysis (and for that matter CGE analysis) does not present a similar measure of<br />

net economic ‘benefits’. Rather, it produces the macroeconomic variables noted above (i.e.<br />

GDP/GSP, employment and income). These are not comparable to the welfare (i.e. economic<br />

efficiency) benefits recorded by SCBA, This is because, unlike SCBA, I-O analysis generally<br />

provides no allowance for the full opportunity costs to society of using labour and capital for<br />

the project rather than for some other purpose.<br />

In other words, the broad gross macroeconomic ‘benefits’ of the given project are allowed for<br />

by I-O analysis (e.g. higher GDP). However, unlike SCBA, the full costs (i.e. the diversion of<br />

labour and capital away from their alternative uses) are not.<br />

Put another way, (and as noted above) SCBA stresses the need to maximise economic<br />

efficiency (through provision of project NPV and BCR). I-O analysis focuses on measuring<br />

broader economic impacts (e.g. outputs, income, employment). SCBA focuses on the primary<br />

benefits (or the value to consumer of using a facility or resource) while impact analyses such<br />

as I-O analysis focus on secondary effects accruing to the producers of inputs to the<br />

production process, in the shape of labour, goods or services.<br />

SCBA emphasises consumer willingness to pay for goods and services and on the related<br />

concept of consumer and producer surplus. A key question is whether the community would<br />

be better-off in adopting a given policy measure then it would be otherwise, using monetary<br />

values as a measure of utility.<br />

In contrast, I-O analysis traces the flow of funds from market transactions and emphasises<br />

the distribution of expenditures derived from a resource, rather than its value to the<br />

community. Thus, as Duncan (2001) notes, in assessing the development of a new tourist<br />

attraction, funded by ratepayers, SCBA would ask the following:<br />

• What are the benefits to taxpayers of the amenity, relative to the costs incurred?<br />

• How much would they be willing to pay or forgo for access to the amenity?<br />

• How does the amount they are willing to pay compare with the costs incurred?<br />

I-O analysis would focus on how much additional spending, employment and output occurs in<br />

the economy and in what sectors, and how would these flow through to other sectors.<br />

Duncan (2001) also points out that ranking alternative projects with impact analysis is<br />

problematic, as results tend to be in dollar (i.e. output or turnover) terms which have a broad<br />

rather than a specific relationship to opportunity costs of inputs.<br />

A further issue, worthy of note, relates to scope. I-O analysis (and CGE analysis) exclude the<br />

impact of some ‘non-market’ factors not measured in National Accounts data which are<br />

allowed for in a typical SCBA for a transport project. These include non-work travel time<br />

savings (to the extent that these are incorporated into increased leisure time), some accident<br />

cost savings (such as lives lost and permanent disability avoided) and environmental<br />

externalities (to the extent these are allowed for in monetary terms within the SCBA).<br />

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