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TABLE OF CONTENTS - Everything R744

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NATURAL REFRIGERANT MARKET OUTLOOK<br />

COMMERCIAL/LIGHT-COMMERCIAL REFRIGERATION<br />

Question: What will be the MARKET SHARE of AMMONIA, CO 2<br />

and HYDROCARBONS at present and in 2015 and 2020 for the Commercial (supermarkets<br />

etc.) and Light-Commercial (bottle coolers, plug-in displays, ice cream freezers, vending machines etc.) Refrigeration sector:<br />

CO 2<br />

Commercial Refrigeration<br />

Hydrocarbon Commercial Refrigeration<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

1,2%<br />

100%<br />

1,8%<br />

3,7%<br />

12,2%<br />

9,8% 9,8%<br />

More than 50%<br />

4,9%<br />

13,4%<br />

25,6%<br />

31,1%<br />

65,9%<br />

17,1%<br />

27,4%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

19,5%<br />

26,2%<br />

26,8%<br />

50,0%<br />

40%<br />

4,3%<br />

9,1%<br />

14,0%<br />

4,9%<br />

12,8%<br />

7,3%<br />

18,3%<br />

71,3%<br />

18,3%<br />

38,4%<br />

21-50%<br />

11-20%<br />

6-10%<br />

0-5%<br />

108<br />

20%<br />

25,0%<br />

16,5%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

12,8%<br />

2012 2015 2020<br />

0%<br />

2012 2015 2020<br />

Total responses: 164<br />

Total responses: 164<br />

CO 2<br />

Commercial Refrigeration<br />

According to the 164 respondents to this question,<br />

CO 2<br />

shows strong potential for rapid market growth in<br />

commercial refrigeration in North America. Although<br />

two-thirds say the market for CO 2<br />

is still a niche market<br />

today (0-5%), 58% believe its market share will grow to<br />

6-20% by 2015, and 45% of respondents are confident<br />

that the market share of CO 2<br />

refrigerant will rise to more<br />

than 20% by 2020.<br />

Hydrocarbon Commercial Refrigeration<br />

Although the number of HC installation in commercial<br />

refrigeration is still low today, thought to be in the “0-<br />

5%” market share range, 42% of respondents believe<br />

that their use will grow to more than a 10% market share<br />

by 2020. Every tenth respondent believes a market share<br />

of “more than 50%” could be possible by then. However,<br />

markets will not be moving as fast as for CO 2<br />

, with half of<br />

all respondents still predicting a market share of HCs of<br />

below 5% in the next 3 years.

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