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TABLE OF CONTENTS - Everything R744

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NATURAL REFRIGERANT MARKET OUTLOOK<br />

COMMERCIAL/LIGHT-COMMERCIAL REFRIGERATION<br />

Question: What will be the MARKET SHARE of AMMONIA, CO 2<br />

and HYDROCARBONS at present and in 2015 and 2020 for the Commercial (supermarkets<br />

etc) and Light-Commercial (bottle coolers, plug-in displays, ice cream freezers, vending machines etc) Refrigeration sector:<br />

Ammonia Commercial Refrigeration<br />

Hydrocarbon Light-Commercial Refrigeration<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

1,2%<br />

2,4%<br />

1,8%<br />

10,4%<br />

84,1%<br />

1,2%<br />

4,3%<br />

6,7%<br />

18,9%<br />

68,9%<br />

1,2%<br />

6,1%<br />

15,2%<br />

25,0%<br />

52,4%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

12,3%<br />

5,6%<br />

6,8%<br />

11,1%<br />

64,2%<br />

11,1%<br />

13,6%<br />

16,0%<br />

25,3%<br />

17,9%<br />

21,1%<br />

19,1%<br />

19,1%<br />

More than 50%<br />

21-50%<br />

11-20%<br />

6-10%<br />

0-5%<br />

109<br />

34,0%<br />

20%<br />

20%<br />

22,8%<br />

0%<br />

2012 2015 2020<br />

0%<br />

2012 2015 2020<br />

Total responses: 164<br />

Total responses: 162<br />

Ammonia Commercial Refrigeration<br />

A majority of the 164 respondents (84%) believe that<br />

ammonia refrigeration for commercial applications<br />

still remains a small market (0-5%) today. Nearly a<br />

third (31%) believe ammonia’s market share will have<br />

increased to more than 5% by 2015. Nearly half (48%)<br />

of the respondents are confident that ammonia will<br />

experience gradual growth and cover more than 5% of<br />

the commercial refrigeration market by 2020.<br />

Hydrocarbon Light-Commercial<br />

Refrigeration<br />

Hydrocarbons are more commonly used in, and have<br />

the largest potential for growth, in the light commercial<br />

refrigeration sector in the North American market. 66%<br />

of the 162 respondents believe the market share of<br />

hydrocarbons will have reached more than 5% by 2015.<br />

This number grows to 77% by 2020, when 39% say the<br />

market share has the potential to be even larger than<br />

20%.

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