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TABLE OF CONTENTS - Everything R744

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THE USE <strong>OF</strong> NATURAL REFRIGERANTS TODAY & TOMORROW<br />

FAMILIARITY WITH NATURAL REFRIGERANTS<br />

When asked how familiar they themselves were with the<br />

use and characteristics of the five natural refrigerants,<br />

most respondents indicated that the refrigerant carbon<br />

dioxide was, on average, the most well-known natural<br />

working fluid. However, with an average value of 3.1<br />

out of a maximum of 4, there was still an awareness<br />

gap regarding the “very familiar” option. Surprisingly,<br />

and although hydrocarbon refrigerants have only been<br />

recently approved, for use in small applications, in<br />

the US, respondents were nearly as familiar with their<br />

characteristics as those of CO 2<br />

. This can be interpreted<br />

as a good starting base for a more rapid introduction<br />

of hydrocarbons in the US Ammonia reached similar<br />

values (3.0 out of 4.0), whereas water (2.6) and air (2.5)<br />

ranged in the “somewhat familiar” to “mostly unfamiliar”<br />

categories.<br />

Looking at the individual choices of all respondents, the<br />

refrigerants air and water would need more support to<br />

reach acceptable awareness levels. With 52% and 46%<br />

of respondents, saying that they were either “mostly<br />

unfamiliar” or “not at all familiar” with air and water<br />

refrigerants respectively, a clear knowledge gap exists.<br />

This gap will need to be closed before a wider market<br />

adoption can occur.<br />

Concerning end-users only (91 responses), familiarity<br />

ratings for all individual NRs were consistently lower than<br />

for the total response set. Interestingly, hydrocarbons<br />

achieved the highest overall awareness level among<br />

commercial/industrial end-users (3.0), followed by<br />

ammonia (2.9) and CO 2<br />

(2.8). Air received a very modest<br />

2.4 average rating.<br />

For the second related question, all respondents were<br />

asked to evaluate the awareness levels of their customers.<br />

Most striking was a clear drop in average awareness of<br />

customers, compared to respondents’ own knowledge.<br />

Most respondents thought that their customers’<br />

awareness levels were only at a “mostly unfamiliar”<br />

level for ammonia (2.1 out of 4.0), hydrocarbons (2.1),<br />

and carbon dioxide (2.0). Air and water performed even<br />

worse, with average ratings of “not at all familiar” and<br />

“mostly unfamiliar”, respectively. While ammonia clearly<br />

enjoyed the highest level of familiarity (“very familiar”<br />

option) among customers, a result of its continued use<br />

in North America, the awareness level of hydrocarbons,<br />

which are expected to enter the US market rapidly, was<br />

in the medium range. 22% of respondents even said that<br />

customers were “not at all familiar” with hydrocarbons’<br />

use. Also interesting was the high selection of the “do not<br />

know” option, especially for water and air refrigerants,<br />

indicating that respondents were not aware of the<br />

refrigerant knowledge of their customers.<br />

USE <strong>OF</strong> NATURAL REFRIGERANTS TODAY &<br />

TOMORROW<br />

Two-thirds of all survey respondents stated that<br />

they already offered or used natural refrigerants.<br />

The remaining 27% was split between not currently<br />

using or not currently supplying NR technology. 7%<br />

of respondents did not know if the organization they<br />

represented had any activities involving NR.<br />

Among all respondents, the share that was confident<br />

that NRs would be used in the future increased by 4%,<br />

reaching 70%, whereas the percentage of individuals<br />

clearly saying “no” to NR use in the future decreased<br />

by 18%, settling at 9%. The share of “do not know”<br />

responses significantly increased. Every fifth respondent<br />

was not sure what the organization’s future business<br />

strategy regarding natural refrigerant solutions would<br />

be, suggesting a highly dynamic development over the<br />

coming years.<br />

If only considering the sub-set of respondents (162<br />

individuals) that did not currently offer or use NRs,<br />

40% said they were sure to use NRs in the future, and<br />

another 43% opted for “do not know”. Whereas the first<br />

is a strong indication of the future uptake of NRs by new<br />

market players, the latter suggests there is room for<br />

more activities to promote the benefits of NRs among<br />

the currently undecided. Only 17% were sure that they<br />

would not use natural working fluids in the future.<br />

Among the sub-group of end-users (91 responses),<br />

mostly active in the industrial / commercial airconditioning,<br />

commercial refrigeration, and industrial /<br />

commercial heating sectors, 53% already used natural<br />

refrigerants, and 54% thought they would use them in<br />

the future.<br />

THE BUSINESS CASE FOR NATURAL<br />

REFRIGERANTS<br />

In an open-ended question, respondents were asked<br />

what the percentage of natural refrigerant-related<br />

activities in their organization was. A total of 284<br />

individual answers were received. Responses ranged from<br />

“below 1% of our activities” to “100% of our activities”.<br />

The highest individual answer (the statistical mode) was<br />

recorded for “10%” (43 responses), followed by “5%” (36<br />

responses), and “90%” (22 responses), indicating the<br />

wide range of stakeholders taking the survey. However,<br />

a general observance was that nearly two-thirds (64%)<br />

of responses fell in the range of less than 50% NR share.<br />

54 respondents indicated an NR share above 90%, out of<br />

which 17 respondents used 100% natural refrigerants in<br />

96

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