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Nevada Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Reference Case Projections

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FINAL <strong>Nevada</strong> GHG <strong>Inventory</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Reference</strong> <strong>Case</strong> Projection<br />

CCS, July 2007<br />

Table D2. Approach to Estimating <strong>Projections</strong><br />

Source<br />

Category<br />

Cement<br />

Manufacturing -<br />

Clinker<br />

Production<br />

Lime<br />

Manufacture<br />

Limestone <strong>and</strong><br />

Dolomite<br />

Consumption<br />

Soda Ash<br />

Consumption<br />

Nitric Acid<br />

Production<br />

Time<br />

Period<br />

2006-<br />

2020<br />

2006-<br />

2020<br />

2003 -<br />

2020<br />

2003 -<br />

2020<br />

2006-<br />

2020<br />

ODS Substitutes 2003 -<br />

2020<br />

Electric Power<br />

T&/D Systems<br />

2003 -<br />

2020<br />

Annual Growth Rates (%)<br />

2000 2005 2010 2015<br />

Projection<br />

to to to to<br />

Assumptions<br />

Data Source 2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

Compound annual <strong>Nevada</strong> Department 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7<br />

growth rate from<br />

of Employment;<br />

<strong>Nevada</strong>’s Nonmetallic (http://www.nevadaw<br />

Minerals sector<br />

orkforce.com/cgi/data<br />

employment projections analysis/).<br />

(2004-2014). Assumed<br />

growth is same for 2015<br />

– 2020 as in previous<br />

periods.<br />

Ditto ditto 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7<br />

Ditto ditto 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7<br />

Growth between 2004<br />

<strong>and</strong> 2009 is projected to<br />

be about 0.5% per year<br />

for U.S. production.<br />

Assumed growth is<br />

same for 2010 – 2020.<br />

Compound annual<br />

growth rate from<br />

<strong>Nevada</strong>’s Other<br />

Chemical Product <strong>and</strong><br />

Preparation<br />

Manufacturing sector<br />

employment projections<br />

(2004-2014). Assumed<br />

growth is same for 2015<br />

– 2020 as in previous<br />

periods.<br />

Based on national<br />

growth rate for use of<br />

ODS substitutes.<br />

Minerals Yearbook,<br />

2005: Volume I, Soda<br />

Ash,<br />

(http://minerals.usgs.<br />

gov/minerals/pubs/co<br />

mmodity/soda_ash/so<br />

da_myb05.pdf).<br />

<strong>Nevada</strong> Department<br />

of Employment;<br />

(http://www.nevadaw<br />

orkforce.com/cgi/data<br />

analysis/).<br />

US EPA, 2004 ODS<br />

substitutes cost study<br />

report<br />

(http://www.epa.gov/o<br />

zone/snap/emissions/<br />

TMP6si9htnvca.htm).<br />

0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5<br />

-1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1<br />

15.8 7.9 5.8 5.3<br />

Ditto ditto 3.3 -6.2 -9.0 -2.8<br />

Semiconductor manufacturing is classified under NAICS code 334413. The 1997 Economic<br />

Census (http://www.census.gov/econ/ census02/) did not report any data for NAICS code<br />

334413 for <strong>Nevada</strong>. The 2002 Economic Census reported four establishments each with from<br />

100 to 240 paid employees. Value of shipments information, which is needed to estimate<br />

emissions for <strong>Nevada</strong> in the SGIT, was, however, withheld for confidentiality reasons in the<br />

2002 Economic Census for these four establishments. Therefore, emissions were not estimated<br />

for this industrial sector.<br />

<strong>Nevada</strong> Division of 45 Center for Climate Strategies<br />

Environmental Protection<br />

www.climatestrategies.us

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