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Nevada Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Reference Case Projections

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FINAL <strong>Nevada</strong> GHG <strong>Inventory</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Reference</strong> <strong>Case</strong> Projection<br />

CCS, July 2007<br />

gases were converted to their CO 2 equivalents <strong>and</strong> summed to estimate total emissions from<br />

fires. The nitrous oxide estimate was made assuming that N 2 O was 1% of the emissions of NO x<br />

from the WRAP study. The 1% estimate is a common rule of thumb for the N 2 O content of NO x<br />

from combustion sources.<br />

The results for 2002 are that fires contributed about 0.23 MMtCO 2 e of methane <strong>and</strong> nitrous oxide<br />

from about 88,958 acres burned (82,163 acres by wildfires). About 94% of the CO 2 e was<br />

contributed by CH 4 . For the purposes of comparison, another 2002 estimate was made using<br />

emission factors from a 2001 global biomass burning study 106 <strong>and</strong> the total tons of biomass<br />

burned from the 2002 WRAP fires emissions inventory. This estimate is nearly 0.27 MMtCO 2 e<br />

showing good agreement with the estimate above; however, there were about equal contributions<br />

from methane <strong>and</strong> nitrous oxide on a CO 2 e basis.<br />

Note that the 2002 level of activity compares to almost 950,000 acres burned in <strong>Nevada</strong> in<br />

1996. 107 Given the large swings in fire activity from year to year <strong>and</strong> the current lack of data for<br />

multiple years, CCS did not include these estimates in with the annual forestry flux estimates<br />

presented in the emissions summaries of this report. However, on the basis of total acres burned<br />

in 1996 <strong>and</strong> 2002, it appears that fires contribute on the order of 0.2 – 2.0 MMtCO 2 e annually in<br />

NV from methane <strong>and</strong> nitrous oxide emissions.<br />

Key Uncertainties<br />

It is important to note that there were methodological differences in the two FIA cycles that can<br />

produce different estimates of forested area <strong>and</strong> carbon density. For example, in the Rocky<br />

Mountain Region of the US, the FIA program modified the definition of forest cover for the<br />

woodl<strong>and</strong>s class of forestl<strong>and</strong>. Earlier FIA cycles defined woodl<strong>and</strong>s as having a tree cover of at<br />

least 10%, while the newer sampling methods used a woodl<strong>and</strong>s definition of tree cover of at<br />

least 5% (leading to more area being defined as woodl<strong>and</strong>). In woodl<strong>and</strong> areas, the earlier FIA<br />

surveys might not have inventoried trees of certain species or with certain tree form<br />

characteristics (leading to differences in both carbon density <strong>and</strong> forested acreage). Also, surveys<br />

since 1999 include all dead trees on the plots, but data prior to that are variable in terms of these<br />

data. The modifications to FIA surveys are a result of an exp<strong>and</strong>ed focus in the FIA program,<br />

which historically was only concerned with timber resources, while more recent surveys have<br />

aimed at a more comprehensive gathering of forest biomass data.<br />

The effect of these changes in survey methods has not been comprehensively estimated by the<br />

USFS. In states like <strong>Nevada</strong> that are in the Rocky Mountain Region <strong>and</strong> have substantial areas of<br />

woodl<strong>and</strong>s, the change in definition could contribute significantly to the increases seen in<br />

forested area, which would translate into increases in CO 2 pools <strong>and</strong> large net negative CO 2<br />

fluxes. For these reasons, the USFS provided flux estimates separately for woodl<strong>and</strong>s, so that the<br />

relative influence of the woodl<strong>and</strong>s class on total net CO 2 fluxes in NV could be discerned. As<br />

shown in Table H2, the contribution from the woodl<strong>and</strong> areas drives a significant fraction of the<br />

flux estimate statewide (over 75%). Given the modifications to the FIA survey methods, the<br />

forest flux estimates for <strong>Nevada</strong> (-7.7 MMtCO 2 ) may be viewed as high.<br />

106 M. O. Andreae <strong>and</strong> P. Merlet, “Emission of trace gases <strong>and</strong> aerosols from biomass burning”, Global<br />

Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 15, No. 4, pp. 955-966, December 2001.<br />

107 1996 Fire Emission <strong>Inventory</strong>, Draft Final Report, prepared by Air Sciences, Inc. for the Western Regional Air<br />

Partnership, December 2002.<br />

<strong>Nevada</strong> Division of 71 Center for Climate Strategies<br />

Environmental Protection<br />

www.climatestrategies.us

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