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UK Climate Change Programme 2006 - JNCC - Defra

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62<br />

Transport<br />

make and on the other hand help people make<br />

more informed travel choices, which will benefit<br />

both them and the environment.<br />

5. And in making a significant contribution to<br />

meeting the Government’s long-term emissions<br />

reduction goals there will also be opportunities<br />

for the transport sector and for <strong>UK</strong> industry, with<br />

the potential to benefit from domestic and global<br />

demand for innovative products and services<br />

geared towards greener transport.<br />

2004, and would be expected to be 15.6 per<br />

cent above 1990 emissions by 2010 in the<br />

absence of the further measures described in this<br />

chapter. The table below shows the baseline<br />

‘with measures’ projections for transport to 2020.<br />

These projections include the effect of policies<br />

introduced since Kyoto but not the additional<br />

policies and measures in this programme. 1<br />

Potential carbon savings<br />

Greenhouse gas emissions inventory<br />

and projections<br />

6. Transport accounted for about 21 per cent of <strong>UK</strong><br />

greenhouse gas emissions in 2004. Carbon<br />

dioxide is the most significant greenhouse gas<br />

emitted from this sector, accounting for over 95<br />

per cent of emissions in 2004. Nitrous oxide is<br />

emitted during the catalytic conversion of vehicle<br />

exhaust, and hydrofluorocarbons are emitted<br />

from vehicle air conditioning systems and<br />

refrigerated transport. Methane is emitted in<br />

small amounts by natural gas powered vehicles.<br />

7. Greenhouse gas emissions from road transport<br />

grew by some 12 per cent between 1990 and<br />

8. The Government appraises all its road schemes<br />

for their environmental impacts, including carbon<br />

dioxide emissions. Beyond this the Government<br />

has a range of policies in place to reduce the<br />

environmental impact of transport and these are<br />

already delivering significant carbon savings.<br />

9. But we want and need to do more, and so this<br />

programme adds a set of carbon-saving policies<br />

including:<br />

• the Renewable Transport Fuels Obligation;<br />

• measures to help people make smarter travel<br />

choices; and<br />

Greenhouse gas emissions from transport, MtC<br />

Gas 1990 1995 2000 2004 2010 2015 2020<br />

Carbon dioxide 39.2 39.8 40.9 43.1 44.8 45.7 45.3<br />

Methane 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1<br />

Nitrous oxide 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9<br />

Total 40.2 41.2 42.6 45.0 46.5 47.5 47.2<br />

<strong>Change</strong> from 1990 levels 2.3 5.8 11.8 15.6 18.0 17.4<br />

Note: the percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding<br />

Existing measures<br />

Carbon savings in 2010 (MtC)<br />

Voluntary Agreement package, including reform<br />

of company car taxation and graduated VED 2.3<br />

Wider transport measures 2 0.8<br />

Sustainable distribution (in Scotland) 0.1<br />

Fuel duty escalator 3 1.9<br />

TOTAL 5.1<br />

1 Transport's use of energy including refineries is included in the carbon dioxide estimates given in the table. The estimates also include emissions from<br />

domestic aviation, but not emissions from international aviation which are currently excluded from international target assessments.<br />

2 As set out in 'Transport 2010: The 10 Year Plan for Transport' and built upon in 'The Future of Transport: A network for 2030'.<br />

3 The fuel duty escalator was in place from 1993 to 1999. Carbon savings have been estimated by comparing the level of emissions with the fuel duty<br />

escalator in place with what would have happened had fuel duty been increased annually in line with inflation.

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