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Chapter 1 Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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Adult Spotted Sunfish Adults - Braden River Upstream (1989-1993)<br />

-5%<br />

-15%<br />

Habitat Gain/Loss<br />

-25%<br />

-35%<br />

-45%<br />

10% Flow Reduction<br />

20% Flow Reduction<br />

30% Flow Reduction<br />

40% Flow Reduction<br />

-55%<br />

-65%<br />

-75%<br />

January<br />

February<br />

March<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

October<br />

November<br />

December<br />

Figure 4-5. Example plot of habitat gain/loss relative to flow reductions of 10, 20, 30, <strong>and</strong><br />

40%. Habitat loss is shown for spotted sunfish adults at the upstream Braden River site<br />

based on historic flow records from 1989 to 1993.<br />

4.3.2.1 Development of Habitat Suitability Curves<br />

Habitat suitability criteria used in the PHABSIM model include continuous<br />

variable or univariate curves designed to encompass the expected range of<br />

suitable conditions for water depth, water velocity, <strong>and</strong> substrate/cover type <strong>and</strong><br />

proximity. There are three types of suitability curves.<br />

Type I curves do not depend upon acquisition of additional field-data but are,<br />

instead, based on personal experience <strong>and</strong> professional judgment. Informal<br />

development of Type I curves typically involves a roundtable discussion (Scheele<br />

1975); stakeholders <strong>and</strong> experts meet to discuss habitat suitability information to<br />

be used for prediction of habitat availability for specific target organisms. A more<br />

formal process, known as the Delphi technique (Zuboy 1981) involves<br />

submission of a questionnaire to a large respondent group of experts. Results<br />

from this survey process are summarized by presenting a median <strong>and</strong><br />

interquartile range for each variable. Several iterations of this process must be<br />

used in order to stabilize the responses, with each expert being asked to justify<br />

why his/her answer may be outside the median or interquartile range when<br />

presented the results of the survey. The Delphi system lacks the rapid feedback<br />

of a roundtable discussion, but does remove the potential biases of a roundtable<br />

discussion by creating anonymity of expert opinion. The Delphi system does<br />

assume that experts are familiar with the creation of habitat suitability criteria <strong>and</strong><br />

4-12

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