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Chapter 1 Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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factors, the most conservative of which is used to develop a prescribed flow<br />

reduction for Block 2.<br />

4.7.1 PHABSIM – Application for Block 2<br />

PHABSIM was used to evaluate potential changes in habitat associated with<br />

variation in medium flows. For the analyses, historic time series data from the<br />

Braden River near Lorraine gage site were used. The two benchmark periods,<br />

utilized for PHABSIM, ran from 1988-1993 <strong>and</strong> from 1994-2005.<br />

Simulations were conducted for various life-history stages of spotted sunfish,<br />

largemouth bass, bluegill, <strong>and</strong> macroinvertebrate diversity at two representative<br />

sites on the Braden River. Maximum flow reductions that resulted in no more<br />

than a 15% reduction in habitat from historic conditions during Block 2, which<br />

runs from October 25 of one year to May 6 of the following calendar year, were<br />

determined to be limiting factors. These factors were used to derive prescribed<br />

flow reductions, which identify acceptable flow requirements for the Braden River<br />

near Lorraine gage site during Block 2, when flows exceed the low flow<br />

thresholds.<br />

4.7.2 Snag <strong>and</strong> Exposed Root Habitat Analyses – Application for<br />

Block 2<br />

Mean elevations of snag <strong>and</strong> exposed root habitats were determined for fourteen<br />

instream habitat cross-section sites in the Braden River. <strong>Flows</strong> at the crosssection<br />

sites <strong>and</strong> corresponding flows at the Braden River near Lorraine gage<br />

that would result in inundation of the mean habitat elevations at each crosssection<br />

were determined using the HEC-RAS model. Long-term inundation<br />

analyses was used to determine the number of days that the mean elevations for<br />

the snag or root habitat were inundated. Flow records from two benchmark<br />

periods (1988 through 1994 <strong>and</strong> from 1995 through 2005) were examined to<br />

identify percent-of-flow reductions that would result in no more than a 15% loss<br />

of habitat defined as a reduction of no more than 15% of the number of days of<br />

inundation from direct river flow for the entire year, after prescribed flow<br />

reductions for Blocks 1 <strong>and</strong> 3 were applied. Although we acknowledge that a<br />

15% change in habitat availability based on a reduction in spatial extent of<br />

habitat may not be equivalent to a 15% change in habitat availability based on<br />

number of days a particular habitat is inundated (Munson <strong>and</strong> Delfino 2007), the<br />

peer review panel for the middle Peace River MFLs noted, “that the 15%<br />

threshold selected for preventing significant harm is appropriate” (Shaw et al.<br />

2005).<br />

Loss of days of direct connection with river flows was evaluated for the entire<br />

year since woody habitats in the river are expected to be inundated during<br />

4-20

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