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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION<br />

A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY OUTLOOK<br />

map 5.2: results reference <strong>scenario</strong> and <strong>the</strong> advanced <strong>energy</strong> [r]evolution <strong>scenario</strong><br />

WORLDWIDE SCENARIO<br />

5<br />

<strong>scenario</strong>s for a future <strong>energy</strong> supply | RESULTS<br />

SCENARIO<br />

RESULTS<br />

LEGEND<br />

OECD NORTH AMERICA<br />

REF<br />

E[R]<br />

LATIN AMERICA<br />

REF<br />

E[R]<br />

> -50 > -40 > -30<br />

REF<br />

REFERENCE SCENARIO<br />

2007<br />

PE PJ EL TWh<br />

115,758H 5,221H<br />

PE PJ EL TWh<br />

115,758H 5,221<br />

2007<br />

PE PJ EL TWh<br />

22,513L 998<br />

PE PJ EL TWh<br />

22,513L 998<br />

> -20 > -10 > 0<br />

E[R]<br />

ADVANCED ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO<br />

2050<br />

129,374 7,917 70,227<br />

% %<br />

7,925<br />

2050<br />

40,874 2,480 27,311<br />

% %<br />

2,927<br />

> +10 > +20 > +30<br />

2007<br />

2050<br />

7<br />

15<br />

15<br />

25<br />

7<br />

85<br />

15<br />

98<br />

2007<br />

2050<br />

29<br />

28<br />

70H<br />

57H<br />

29<br />

88H<br />

70H<br />

98<br />

% %<br />

% %<br />

> +40 > +50 % CHANGE OF ENERGY<br />

CONSUMPTION IN THE ADVANCED<br />

ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO<br />

2050 COMPARED TO CURRENT<br />

CONSUMPTION 2007<br />

0 1000 KM<br />

2007<br />

2050<br />

85<br />

75<br />

67M<br />

59M<br />

85<br />

9<br />

% %<br />

67M<br />

2<br />

2007<br />

2050<br />

70L<br />

69<br />

28L<br />

40L<br />

% %<br />

70L<br />

12L<br />

28L<br />

2<br />

SHARE OF RENEWABLES %<br />

SHARE OF FOSSIL FUELS %<br />

2007<br />

2050<br />

8<br />

10<br />

18<br />

16<br />

NUCLEAR POWER<br />

PHASED OUT<br />

BY 2040<br />

2007<br />

2050<br />

1<br />

3<br />

2<br />

2<br />

NUCLEAR POWER<br />

PHASED OUT<br />

BY 2030<br />

SHARE OF NUCLEAR ENERGY %<br />

H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST<br />

PE PRIMARY ENERGY PRODUCTION/DEMAND IN PETA JOULE [PJ]<br />

EL ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION/GENERATION IN TERAWATT HOURS [TWh]<br />

56

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