download the mexico energy revolution scenario

WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION
A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY OUTLOOK
6
key results | HEATING AND COOLING SUPPLY
figure 6.2: development of electricity demand by sector
(REF, E[R] & advanced E[R])
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
PJ/a 0
E[R] adv
E[R]
E[R] adv
E[R]
2007 2010
‘EFFICIENCY’
OTHER SECTORS
• INDUSTRY
TRANSPORT
E[R] adv
E[R]
2020
E[R] adv
E[R]
2030
E[R] adv
E[R]
2040
E[R] adv
E[R]
2050
heating and cooling supply
Today, renewables meet 19% of Mexico’s primary energy demand
for heat supply, the main contribution coming from the use of
biomass. The lack of district heating networks is a severe structural
barrier to the large scale utilisation of geothermal and solar
thermal energy. Dedicated support instruments are required to
ensure a dynamic development.
In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, renewables provide 68% of
Mexico’s total heating demand by 2050.
• Energy efficiency measures help to reduce the currently growing
demand for heating and cooling, in spite of improving living standards.
• In the industry sector solar collectors, biomass/biogas and
geothermal energy are increasingly substituted for conventional
fossil-fuelled heating systems.
• A shift from coal and oil to natural gas in the remaining conventional
applications leads to a further reduction of CO2 emissions.
In the Energy [R]evolution scenario 988 PJ/a is saved by 2050, or
31% compared to the Reference scenario. The advanced version
introduces renewable heating systems around five years ahead of
the basic scenario. Solar collectors and geothermal heating systems
achieve economies of scale via ambitious support programmes five
to ten years earlier, resulting in a renewables share of 55% by
2030 and 88% by 2050.
figure 6.3: development of heat demand by sector
figure 6.4: development of heat supply structure under
3 scenarios
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
PJ/a 0
PJ/a 0
E[R] adv
E[R]
2007
• ‘EFFICIENCY’
E[R] adv
E[R]
2010
E[R] adv
E[R]
2020
E[R] adv
E[R]
2030
E[R] adv
E[R]
2040
E[R] adv
E[R]
2050
REF E[R] adv
E[R]
REF E[R] adv
E[R]
REF E[R] adv
E[R]
REF E[R] adv
E[R]
REF E[R] adv
E[R]
REF E[R] adv
E[R]
2007 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
OTHER SECTORS
• INDUSTRY
• ‘EFFICIENCY’
HYDROGEN
GEOTHERMAL
SOLAR
• BIOMASS
FOSSIL FUELS
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