download the mexico energy revolution scenario

WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION
A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY OUTLOOK
6
key results | ELECTRICITY GENERATION & JOB RESULTS
future costs of electricity generation
Figure 6.6 shows that the introduction of renewable technologies
under the Energy [R]evolution scenario significantly decreases the
future costs of electricity generation compared to the Reference
scenario. Because of the lower CO2 intensity of electricity
generation, costs will become economically favourable under the
Energy [R]evolution scenario and by 2050 will be more than 12
cents/kWh below those in the Reference version.
Under the Reference scenario, on the other hand, unchecked growth
in demand, an increase in fossil fuel prices and the cost of CO2
emissions result in total electricity supply costs rising from today’s
$25 billion per year to more than $202 billion in 2050. Figure 28
shows that the Energy [R]evolution scenario not only complies with
Mexico’s CO2 reduction targets but also helps to stabilise energy
costs and relieve the economic pressure on society. Increasing
energy efficiency and shifting energy supply to renewables leads to
long term costs for electricity supply that are more than 50%
lower than in the Reference scenario.
Due to the increased demand for electricity, especially in the
transport and industry sectors, the overall supply costs in the
advanced version are $1 billion higher in 2030 but significantly
higher share and consumption of electric vehicles lead to $4 billion
higher costs in 2050 than in the basic Energy [R]evolution scenario.
job results
The Energy [R]evolution scenarios lead to more energy sector jobs
in Mexico at every stage of the projection.
• There are 185,000 energy sector jobs in the Energy [R]evolution
scenario and 228,000 in the advanced version by 2015, compared
to 127,000 in the Reference scenario.
• By 2020 job numbers reach 181,000 in the Energy [R]evolution
scenario (166,000 in the advanced version), twice as much as in
the Reference scenario
• By 2030 job numbers in the renewable energy sector remain at
around 120,000 in the Energy [R]evolution scenario, while the
advanced version has a further growth up to 138,000. In the
Reference scenario jobs in the renewable power sector has only
26,000 jobs.
figure 6.6: development of total electricity supply costs
& development of specific electricity generation costs
under 3 scenarios
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2007 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
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ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION - ‘EFFICIENCY’ MEASURES
REFERENCE SCENARIO
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ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO
ADVANCED ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO
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