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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY OUTLOOK map 7.2: gas reference scenario and the advanced energy [r]evolution scenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO 7 energy resources & security of supply | GAS OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA REF E[R] REF E[R] tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % 2007 8.0 4.4% 8.0 4.4% 2007 7.7 4.3% 7.7 4.3% NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE 2007 PJ bn m 3 bn m 3 722H 27,435H 722H PJ 27,435H 2007 PJ bn m 3 bn m 3 117 4,465 117 PJ 4,465 2050 767H 29,144H 71H 2,688H 2050 246M 9,358M 34 1,303 GAS 2007 2050 m 3 m 3 1,608 1,608 1,328 123 2007 2050 m 3 m 3 254 254 410 57 LEGEND >50 40-50 30-40 20-30 10-20 5-10 0-5 % RESOURCES GLOBALLY REF REFERENCE SCENARIO E[R] ADVANCED ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO 0 1000 KM RESERVES TOTAL TRILLION CUBIC METRES [tn m 3 ] | SHARE IN % OF GLOBAL TOTAL [END OF 2007] CONSUMPTION PER REGION BILLION CUBIC METRES [bn m 3 ] | PETA JOULE [PJ] CONSUMPTION PER PERSON CUBIC METRES [m 3 ] H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 $ PER MILLION Btu COST gas prices of LNG/ natural gas 1984 - 2007 and future predictions comparing the REF and adv. E[R] scenarios. SOURCE JAPAN CIF/EUROPEAN UNION CIF/IEA 2007 - US IMPORTS/ IEA 2007 - EUROPEAN IMPORTS LNG NATURAL GAS 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 2020 2030 2040 E[R] REF 2050 YEARS 1984 - 2007 PAST YEARS 2007 - 2050 FUTURE 74
OECD EUROPE MIDDLE EAST CHINA TRANSITION ECONOMIES REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % 2007 9.8 5.4% 9.8 5.4% 2007 73.2H 40.4%H 73.2H 40.4%H 2007 1.9 1.0% 1.9 1.0% 2007 53.3 29.4% 53.3 29.4% bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ 2007 504 19,170 504 19,170 2007 238M 9,056M 239 9,056 2007 71 2,716 71 2,716 2007 638 24,225 638 24,225 2050 644 24,469 69 2,613 2050 685 26,034 74 2,805 2050 341 12,953 212 8,061 2050 776 29,478 138 5,248 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 2007 934 934 2007 1,178 1,178 2007 54 54 2007 1,874H 1,874H 2050 1,120M 120 2050 1,939 209M 2050 239 149 2050 2,496H 444H GLOBAL REF tn m 3 % 2007 181 100% E[R] tn m 3 % 181 100% 7 2007 2050 2007 2050 bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 2,759 4,381 104,846 166,489 2,759 902 m 3 m 3 424 424 478 99 PJ 104,846 34,285 energy resources & security of supply | GAS AFRICA INDIA DEVELOPING ASIA OECD PACIFIC REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % tn m 3 % 2007 14.6M 8.0%M 14.6M 8.0%M 2007 1.1L 0.6%L 1.1L 0.6%L 2007 8.6 4.8% 8.6 4.8% 2007 2.9 1.6% 2.9 1.6% bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ bn m 3 PJ 2007 91 3,472 91 3,472 2007 37L 1,397L 37L 1,397L 2007 184 6,998 184 6,998 2007 156 5,912 156 5,912 2050 167 6,338 65 2,456 2050 164L 6,227L 107M 4,075M 2050 422 16,020 115 4,368 2050 170 6,467 18L 667L m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 m 3 2007 95 95 2007 32L 32L 2007 182 182 2007 776M 776M 2050 83 32L 2050 102L 66 2050 278 76 2050 946 98 CO2 EMISSIONS FROM GAS comparison between the REF and adv. E[R] scenarios 2007 - 2050 billion tonnes SOURCE GPI/EREC RESERVES AND CONSUMPTION gas reserves versus global demand, production and consumption. global consumption comparison between the REF and advanced E[R] scenarios. billion cubic metres SOURCE 1970-2008 BP, 2007-2050 GPI/EREC REF global consumption ADV E[R] global consumption 158 25 20 15 10 5 BILLION TONNES REF E[R] 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 BILLION m 3 181 TRILLION CUBIC METRES PROVEN 2007 REF E[R] TRILLION CUBIC METRES USED SINCE 2007 112 TRILLION CUBIC METRES USED SINCE 2007 0 0 2007 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 YEARS 2007 - 2050 YEARS 1972 - 2007 PAST YEARS 2007 - 2050 FUTURE DESIGN WWW.ONEHEMISPHERE.SE CONCEPT SVEN TESKE/GREENPEACE INTERNATIONAL. 75
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energy [r]evolution A SUSTAINABLE E
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“will we look into the eyes of ou
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It is clear that global scenarios h
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image NORTH HOYLE WIND FARM, UK’S
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image WELDER WORKING AT VESTAS WIND
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image THOUSANDS OF FISH DIE AT THE
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image CONSTRUCTION OF THE OFFSHORE
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The greenhouse effect is the proces
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demands for the energy sector Green
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2.1 energy [r]evolution 2010 - mexi
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policies to considerate Legislation
Page 23 and 24: figure 2.1: ftsm scheme developing
Page 25 and 26: table 2.5: renewable power for non-
Page 27 and 28: The charts in Figure 2.5 show for t
Page 29 and 30: image GREENPEACE AND AN INDEPENDENT
Page 31 and 32: Nuclear energy is a relatively mino
Page 33 and 34: Restricting the production of fissi
Page 35 and 36: the energy [r]evolution GLOBAL KEY
Page 37 and 38: image GREENPEACE OPENS A SOLAR ENER
Page 39 and 40: image THE TRUCK DROPS ANOTHER LOAD
Page 41 and 42: image THE WIND TURBINES ARE GOING T
Page 43 and 44: image THE MARANCHON WIND TURBINE FA
Page 45 and 46: Moving from principles to action on
Page 47 and 48: image FIRE BOAT RESPONSE CREWS BATT
Page 49 and 50: image AERIAL VIEW OF THE WORLD’S
Page 51 and 52: image A COW INFRONT OF A BIOREACTOR
Page 53 and 54: image CONSTRUCTION OF WIND TURBINES
Page 55 and 56: OECD EUROPE MIDDLE EAST CHINA TRANS
Page 59 and 60: image THE POTENTIAL OF OCEAN ENERGY
Page 61 and 62: image BUILDING WITH A SOLAR PANEL O
Page 63 and 64: image THE SUN IN THE DESERT, MEXICO
Page 65 and 66: image SUN SETTING OFF THE GULF OF M
Page 67 and 68: image GEOTHERMIC WELL IN THE AZUFRE
Page 69 and 70: The issue of security of supply is
Page 71 and 72: image PLATFORM/OIL RIG DUNLIN IN TH
Page 73: OECD EUROPE MIDDLE EAST CHINA TRANS
Page 81 and 82: image SOLON AG PHOTOVOLTAICS FACILI
Page 87 and 88: image THE BIOENERGY VILLAGE OF JUEH
Page 89 and 90: This chapter describes the range of
Page 91 and 92: image BROWN COAL SURFACE MINING IN
Page 93 and 94: image SOLAR PROJECT IN PHITSANULOK,
Page 95 and 96: image SOLAR PANELS FEATURED IN A RE
Page 97 and 98: geothermal energy Geothermal energy
Page 99 and 100: climate and energy policy GLOBAL ST
Page 101 and 102: image A WOMAN IN FRONT OF HER FLOOD
Page 103 and 104: image A YOUNG INDIGENOUS NENET BOY
Page 105 and 106: glossary & appendix GLOBAL 0 “bec
Page 107 and 108: image MINOTI SINGH AND HER SON AWAI
Page 109 and 110: mexico: energy [r]evolution scenari
Page 111 and 112: mexico: total new investment by tec
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