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WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY OUTLOOK map 7.1: oil reference scenario and the advanced energy [r]evolution scenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO 7 energy resources & security of supply | OIL OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA REF E[R] REF E[R] TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % 2007 69.3 5.6% 69.3 5.6% 2007 111.2 9.0% 111.2 9.0% NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE 2007 MB 7,429H PJ 45,466H MB 7,429H PJ 45,466H 2007 MB 1,691 PJ 10,349 MB 1,691 PJ 10,349 2050 6,594H 40,352H 1,225 7,494 2050 2,597 15,895 292 1,788 OIL 2007 2050 L 2,707H 1,816H L 2,707H 337 2007 2050 L 598 653 L 598 73 LEGEND >60 50-60 40-50 30-40 20-30 10-20 5-10 0-5 % RESOURCES GLOBALLY REF E[R] REFERENCE SCENARIO ADVANCED ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO 0 1000 KM 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 $ PER BARREL COST crude oil prices 1988 - 2007 and future predictions comparing the REF and advanced E[R] scenarios 1 barrel = 159 litres SOURCES REF: INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY/E[R]: DEVELOPMENTS APPLIED IN THE GES-PROJECT E[R] REF 70 60 50 RESERVES TOTAL THOUSAND MILLION BARRELS [TMB] | SHARE IN % OF GLOBAL TOTAL [END OF 2007] 40 CONSUMPTION PER REGION MILLION BARRELS [MB] | PETA JOULE [PJ] 30 CONSUMPTION PER PERSON LITERS [L] 20 10 H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 YEARS 1988 - 2007 PAST YEARS 2007 - 2050 FUTURE 72
OECD EUROPE MIDDLE EAST CHINA TRANSITION ECONOMIES REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % 2007 16.9 1.4%M 16.9 1.4%M 2007 755.3H 61.0%H 755.3H 61.0%H 2007 15.5 1.3% 15.5 1.3% 2007 87.6 10.1%L 87.6 10.1%L MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ 2007 4,337 26,541 4,337 4,418 2007 1,913 11,709 1,913 11,709 2007 2,445 14,966 2,445 14,966 2007 1,605 9,826 1,605 9,826 2050 3,590M 21,970M 722M 9,361M 2050 3,574 21,871 569 3,482 2050 7,946 48,629 1,881H 11,513H 2050 1,953L 11,955L 441L 2,701L L L L L L L L L 2007 1,285 1,285 2007 1,617 1,617 2007 294 294 2007 748M 748M 2050 1,013M 204 2050 1,638 261 2050 891 211M 2050 1,057 239 GLOBAL REF TMB % 2007 1,199 100% E[R] TMB % 1,199 100% 7 2007 2050 2007 2050 MB 25,477 36,762 L 623 637 PJ 155,919 224,981 MB 25,477 8,459 L 623 147 PJ 155,919 51,770 energy resources & security of supply | OIL AFRICA INDIA DEVELOPING ASIA OECD PACIFIC REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] REF E[R] TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % TMB % 2007 117.5M 9.5% 117.5M 9.5% 2007 5.5 0.5% 5.5 0.5% 2007 14.8 1.2% 14.8 1.2% 2007 5.1L 0.4% 5.1L 0.4% MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ MB PJ 2007 924 5,654 924 5,654 2007 1,011L 6,187L 1,011 6,187 2007 1,656 10,136 1,656 10,136 2007 2,465M 15,089M 2,465 15,086 2050 1,667 10,202 689 4,214 2050 3,669 22,455 1,169 7,152 2050 3,448 21,099 1,014 6,204 2050 1,724 10,552 458 2,805 L L L L L L L L 2007 159 159 2007 142L 142L 2007 270 270 2007 1,958 1,958 2050 133L 55L 2050 352 112 2050 365 107 2050 1,539 409H CO2 EMISSIONS FROM OIL comparison between the REF and advanced E[R] scenarios 2007 - 2050 billion tonnes RESERVES AND CONSUMPTION oil reserves versus global demand, production and consumption. global consumption comparison between the REF and advanced E[R] scenarios. million barrels. 1 barrel = 159 litres REF global consumption ADV E[R] global consumption SOURCE GPI/EREC SOURCE BP 2008 1,358 25 20 15 10 5 BILLION TONNES REF E[R] 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 MILLION BARRELS 1,199 BILLION BARRELS PROVEN 2007 REF E[R] BILLION BARRELS USED SINCE 2007 811 BILLION BARRELS USED SINCE 2007 0 0 2007 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 YEARS 2007 - 2050 YEARS 1972 - 2007 PAST YEARS 2007 - 2050 FUTURE DESIGN WWW.ONEHEMISPHERE.SE CONCEPT SVEN TESKE/GREENPEACE INTERNATIONAL. 73
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energy [r]evolution A SUSTAINABLE E
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“will we look into the eyes of ou
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It is clear that global scenarios h
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image NORTH HOYLE WIND FARM, UK’S
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image WELDER WORKING AT VESTAS WIND
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image THOUSANDS OF FISH DIE AT THE
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image CONSTRUCTION OF THE OFFSHORE
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The greenhouse effect is the proces
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demands for the energy sector Green
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2.1 energy [r]evolution 2010 - mexi
Page 21 and 22: policies to considerate Legislation
Page 23 and 24: figure 2.1: ftsm scheme developing
Page 25 and 26: table 2.5: renewable power for non-
Page 27 and 28: The charts in Figure 2.5 show for t
Page 29 and 30: image GREENPEACE AND AN INDEPENDENT
Page 31 and 32: Nuclear energy is a relatively mino
Page 33 and 34: Restricting the production of fissi
Page 35 and 36: the energy [r]evolution GLOBAL KEY
Page 37 and 38: image GREENPEACE OPENS A SOLAR ENER
Page 39 and 40: image THE TRUCK DROPS ANOTHER LOAD
Page 41 and 42: image THE WIND TURBINES ARE GOING T
Page 43 and 44: image THE MARANCHON WIND TURBINE FA
Page 45 and 46: Moving from principles to action on
Page 47 and 48: image FIRE BOAT RESPONSE CREWS BATT
Page 49 and 50: image AERIAL VIEW OF THE WORLD’S
Page 51 and 52: image A COW INFRONT OF A BIOREACTOR
Page 53 and 54: image CONSTRUCTION OF WIND TURBINES
Page 55 and 56: OECD EUROPE MIDDLE EAST CHINA TRANS
Page 59 and 60: image THE POTENTIAL OF OCEAN ENERGY
Page 61 and 62: image BUILDING WITH A SOLAR PANEL O
Page 63 and 64: image THE SUN IN THE DESERT, MEXICO
Page 65 and 66: image SUN SETTING OFF THE GULF OF M
Page 67 and 68: image GEOTHERMIC WELL IN THE AZUFRE
Page 69 and 70: The issue of security of supply is
Page 71: image PLATFORM/OIL RIG DUNLIN IN TH
Page 81 and 82: image SOLON AG PHOTOVOLTAICS FACILI
Page 87 and 88: image THE BIOENERGY VILLAGE OF JUEH
Page 89 and 90: This chapter describes the range of
Page 91 and 92: image BROWN COAL SURFACE MINING IN
Page 93 and 94: image SOLAR PROJECT IN PHITSANULOK,
Page 95 and 96: image SOLAR PANELS FEATURED IN A RE
Page 97 and 98: geothermal energy Geothermal energy
Page 99 and 100: climate and energy policy GLOBAL ST
Page 101 and 102: image A WOMAN IN FRONT OF HER FLOOD
Page 103 and 104: image A YOUNG INDIGENOUS NENET BOY
Page 105 and 106: glossary & appendix GLOBAL 0 “bec
Page 107 and 108: image MINOTI SINGH AND HER SON AWAI
Page 109 and 110: mexico: energy [r]evolution scenari
Page 111 and 112: mexico: total new investment by tec
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