[en]+[zh]Study on Forest Landscape Restoration - ITTO

6 Analyzing landscape pattern at region level 203
had be<strong>en</strong> kept stable in edge d<strong>en</strong>sity, patch shapes of Degraded Primary Forest,
Secondary Forest, Degraded Forest Land, Rubber Plantation and Resid<strong>en</strong>tial
Quarters Land became more and more irregular, and other types had
become more squared during 1999 to 2008.
6. 3. 3 Prediction of forest landscape dynamics
Understanding the forest landscape dynamics is a major factor for successful
implem<strong>en</strong>tation of FLR initiative since it is a process that will take at least 10
years, oft<strong>en</strong> much longer, facing major technical, economic, social, cultural
and institutional chall<strong>en</strong>ges. Using Markov models, transition probability matrix
among differ<strong>en</strong>t landscape elem<strong>en</strong>t types from 1999 to 2008 (see Table
6. 7) was constructed to predict and analyze the forest landscape dynamics of
Lingshui Li Autonomous County.
Table 6. 7
Landscape class transition area of Lingshui
Li Autonomous County form 1999 to 2008
2008
1999 -------------------------
ff ~ ~ ~ & ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ II OC
PF 4.74
DPF
SF
DFL
RP
TaV
CeP
OP
OFL
RQL
6. 29 O. 85 O. 09 0.21 0.03
21. 95 0.93 0.31 0.18 0.90
O. 16 0.23 0.03 0.01 0.97
O. 04 O. 66 O. 50 O. 11
0.01 O. 17 O. 08 O. 04
0.42 5.50 0.21 0.65 0.04 0.07 1. 11 O. 61 O. 11
0.02 0.04 2.60 0.02 0.45 0.01 0.72 0.71 1. 75 0.23
0.01 0.05 0.02 0.23 O. 12
QU QTI Q~ Q~ Q~ Q04 QM Q© Q~ QW
QID Q~ Q~ Qm QOO Q~ Q~ Q01
QOO QID Q~ Q01 Q® 1.~ Q® QW Q04
GP 0.00 0.14 0.15 0.10 O. 03 O. 50 O. 72 O. 02 1. 66
1999
4.74
7.48
25.59
1. 71
8.72
6.56
0.43
3.88
LlO
AL 0.32 0.81 2.32 0.08 1. 91 0.05 0.86 3.22 17.83 1. 47 28.88
OL 0.07 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.59 0.01 0.12 0.43 1.16 3.49 6.44
2008 4.74 6.29 22.80 2.17 7.66 6.78 0.42 6.66 0.16 3.80 8.00 24.54 5.96 100.00
Note:PF - Primary Forest, DPF - Degraded Primary Forest, SF - Secondary Forest,DFL - DegradedForest Land, RP
- Rubber Plantation, Ta V - Trees around Villages, CeP Casuarina equisetifolia Plantation, OP - Other Plantation, OFL
- Other Forest Land, RQL - Resid<strong>en</strong>tial Quarters Land, GP - Gard<strong>en</strong> Plots, AL - Agricultural Land, OL - Other
Land.
The results (see Table 6. 8 and Figure 6. 2) showed that forest and other
natural landscape would reduce gradually while semi-natural landscapes such
as agricultural land and "human-induced landscape like resid<strong>en</strong>tial quarters
2.81