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History Matters: Path dependence and innovation in British city ...

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Large-scale <strong>and</strong> multi-purpose <strong>in</strong>itiatives<br />

comb<strong>in</strong>ed with policies that tolerate certa<strong>in</strong><br />

levels of redundancy have higher chances of<br />

success<br />

Northampton <strong>and</strong> Warr<strong>in</strong>gton’s successful town<br />

expansion plans were based on a broad set<br />

of objectives none of which were specifically<br />

targeted on <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong>. The universities of<br />

Cambridge <strong>and</strong> Oxford are also large scale<br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutions with multiple objectives out<br />

of which <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong>s sometimes emerge.<br />

Successful policy needs to be able to tolerate<br />

such redundancy, <strong>and</strong> the seem<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>direct<br />

l<strong>in</strong>k between <strong>in</strong>terventions <strong>and</strong> eventual<br />

outcomes.<br />

based on forecasts of what emerged several<br />

decades later. Public policies for <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong><br />

should therefore be broadly enabl<strong>in</strong>g, allow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

for policies to adapt <strong>and</strong> change over the longterm.<br />

They should provide opportunities for<br />

radical <strong>and</strong> systemic <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong>s to evolve <strong>and</strong><br />

emerge <strong>in</strong> ways that cannot be foreseen today.<br />

In lagg<strong>in</strong>g cities like Swansea, firms<br />

recognised the significance of the largescale<br />

EU cohesion funds<br />

Few of the firms we <strong>in</strong>terviewed <strong>in</strong> Swansea<br />

would have existed at all without the European<br />

Union structural funds obta<strong>in</strong>ed due to the<br />

area’s Objective 1 <strong>and</strong> transition fund status.<br />

Some are likely to die when the transition funds<br />

run out <strong>in</strong> 2013.<br />

Strong local social networks <strong>and</strong> ties can be<br />

a barrier to develop<strong>in</strong>g new relationships<br />

with outside players that are important <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong><br />

In Swansea, the strong local social networks<br />

embedded <strong>in</strong> generations of work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> large<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries with expectations of jobs for life<br />

effectively limited the search for new ideas<br />

from outside Wales. Government support for<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational visits, build<strong>in</strong>g l<strong>in</strong>ks with new<br />

markets <strong>and</strong> establish<strong>in</strong>g distributors appeared<br />

to be more effective than its efforts to<br />

encourage local Welsh bus<strong>in</strong>ess networks.<br />

The need for <strong>in</strong>ternational knowledge<br />

networks is paramount<br />

Innovation is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly based on<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternationally distributed systems. Some of<br />

the firms <strong>in</strong> Cambridge said that their global<br />

networks were more important to them than<br />

any local ones. In geographical terms this<br />

world of <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong> is both spiky (<strong>in</strong> that<br />

it has a small number of significant hubs)<br />

<strong>and</strong> connected. <strong>British</strong> cities that aspire to<br />

jo<strong>in</strong> this world class <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong> club must<br />

be <strong>in</strong>ternationally connected <strong>and</strong> develop<br />

specialised niches.<br />

Encourag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> enabl<strong>in</strong>g <strong><strong>in</strong>novation</strong> is a<br />

long-term goal<br />

In all our most <strong>in</strong>novative sample cities, the<br />

development of their current successes took<br />

around 30 to 40 years. Public policies that had<br />

played a role <strong>in</strong> the early years were not been<br />

7

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