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RACE AND THE ENFORCEMENT OF DRUG DELIVERY LAWS IN ...

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Capitol Hill—e.g. census tracts 74 and 75—during the four-month sampling<br />

period 110 ). 111<br />

Specifically, the results of the observational study indicate that 9.1 percent of the<br />

observed deliverers were black, but 30 percent of the delivery arrestees were<br />

black. Thus, blacks were over-represented by about threefold relative to the black<br />

share of those observed engaging in drug delivery in Capitol Hill. Expressed<br />

differently, this comparison indicates that blacks are 3.9 times more likely to be<br />

arrested for delivery of a serious drug in Capitol Hill than whites engaging in the<br />

same behavior.<br />

Because the number of both transactions and especially arrests are smaller in<br />

Capitol Hill than downtown, the Z scores that measure the significance of this<br />

discrepancy did not achieve conventional levels of statistical significance. 112<br />

However, if we combine observational and arrest data from Capitol Hill and<br />

downtown, the results indicate that blacks are highly significantly overrepresented<br />

among those arrested in these two neighborhoods as compared to<br />

those who were observed delivering drugs in same locales (see Table 16).<br />

110 The results of the observational study indicate that observed drug transactions in the<br />

downtown area (census tract 81) outnumber those in Capitol Hill’s Broadway corridor (census<br />

tracts 74/75) per hour of observation by a ratio of 3.5 to 1. However, delivery arrests in the<br />

downtown area outnumbered drug delivery arrests in the Capitol Hill area by 6.8 to 1. Thus,<br />

there is evidence that the SPD concentrates its drug enforcement resources in the downtown<br />

area, and under-emphasizes the Capitol Hill neighborhood, in a way that is incommensurate<br />

with the distribution of even outdoor drug activity. If indoor drug activity were also considered,<br />

it is likely that this estimate of the over-representation of downtown drug delivery arrests<br />

(relative to the frequency of drug transactions) would likely be even larger: The results of the<br />

second wave of the needle exchange survey suggest that a larger share of the drug activity<br />

that takes place in Capitol Hill occurs indoors. Specifically, 26.7 percent of those who last<br />

obtained a drug in Capitol Hill got it indoors; 15.9 percent of those who last obtained a drug<br />

downtown acquired it indoors.<br />

111 There were no purposeful drug delivery arrests involving marijuana in census tracts 74 and 75<br />

during the four-month sampling period.<br />

112 Z scores are based, in part, on sample size, and reflect the fact that larger sample sizes<br />

ensure greater reliability.<br />

70

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