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Economic crime report 2004 - Ekobrottsmyndigheten

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15 Problem Areas and Future Threats<br />

15.1 THEORETICAL BACKGROUND FOR THE ANALYSIS<br />

EBM’s initial status <strong>report</strong> (1999:2), which served as a basis for the Government’s<br />

2000 interagency guidelines on combating economic <strong>crime</strong>,<br />

was the first overall review and analysis of the issue ever put together in<br />

Sweden. At the time, it was deemed appropriate to establish a general<br />

causal model on which to structure the analysis. The purpose of the overall<br />

analysis was to lay the groundwork for more effective <strong>crime</strong> prevention<br />

activities and measures. From that point of view, the most suitable<br />

focus appeared to be on the causes of economic <strong>crime</strong>, thereby improving<br />

the prospects of successfully tackling it. Nevertheless, the effects of such<br />

offences were also systematically examined.<br />

The analysis proceeded from a model based on the Routine Activities<br />

Theory (RAT) developed by L. E. Cohen and M. Felson in 1979. The<br />

model seeks to explain the commission of an offence using three groups<br />

of causal variables: a motivated offender, the opportunity to commit a<br />

<strong>crime</strong> (opportunity structure), and the lack of effective monitoring.<br />

EBM analysis adapted RAT to analyze economic <strong>crime</strong>. Figure 45 presents<br />

the model in graphic form.<br />

Diagram 45 Analysis model for economic <strong>crime</strong><br />

Norms and values<br />

Technical,<br />

economic<br />

and<br />

political<br />

development<br />

Crime opportunity<br />

structure<br />

Attitudes<br />

Motive formation<br />

<strong>Economic</strong> <strong>crime</strong><br />

Supervision<br />

Effects<br />

96

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