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xix<br />

FOREWORD: SCIENCE AND CHANGE<br />

commercials to break in at certain intervals.) Our minds are<br />

filled with such durational assumptions. Those of children are<br />

much different from those of fully socialized adults, and here<br />

again the diffe rences are a source of conflict.<br />

Moreover, children in an industrial society are "time<br />

trained"-they learn to read the clock, and they learn to distinguish<br />

even quite small slices of time, as when their parents<br />

tell them, "You've only got three more minutes till bedtime!"<br />

These sharply honed temporal skills are often absent in<br />

slower-moving agrarian societies that require less precision in<br />

daily scheduling than our time-obsessed society.<br />

Such concepts, which fit within the social and individual<br />

time scales of Braude!, have never been systematically developed<br />

in the social sciences. Nor have they, in any significant<br />

way, been articulated with our scientific theories of time,<br />

even though they are necessarily connected with our assumptions<br />

about physical reality. And this brings us back to Prigogine,<br />

who has been fascinated by the concept of time since<br />

boyhood. He once said to me that, as a young student, he was<br />

struck by a grand contradiction in the way science viewed<br />

time, and this contradiction has been the source of his life's<br />

work ever since.<br />

In the world model constructed by Newton and his followers,<br />

time was an afterthought. A moment, whether in the<br />

present, past, or future, was assumed to be exactly like any<br />

other moment. The endless cycling of the planets-indeed,<br />

the operations of a clock or a simple machine-can, in principle,<br />

go either backward or forward in time without altering the<br />

basics of the system. For this reason, scientists refer to time in<br />

Newtonian systems as "reversible."<br />

In the nineteenth century, however, as the main focus of<br />

physics shifted from dynamics to thermodynamics and the<br />

Second Law of thermodynamics was proclaimed, time suddenly<br />

became a central concern. For, according to the Second<br />

Law, there is an inescapable loss of energy in the universe.<br />

And, if the world machine is really running down and approaching<br />

the heat death, then it follows that one moment is no<br />

longer exactly like the last. Yo u cannot run the universe backward<br />

to make up for entropy. Events over the long term cannot<br />

replay themselves. And this means that there is a directionality<br />

or, as Eddington later called it, an "arrow" in time.

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