10.07.2015 Views

Untitled - socium.ge

Untitled - socium.ge

Untitled - socium.ge

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

162 Marshall Van Alstyne and Nathaniel BulkleyHypothesis 8: Simulation and modeling help decision-makers more accuratelyidentify levera<strong>ge</strong> points within dynamic systems and reduce the cost ofexploring alternative courses of action. They boost productivity by reducingwasted resources and creating new options.No firm within the empirical study performed any simulation modeling.Data mining, to the extent that it happened at all (cf. hypothesis 9 on informationsearch), was limited to market trend analysis. The firm performing themost trend analysis was also the firm having more routine information practicesand had the highest per capita revenues.INFORMATION FLOWS AND NETWORK TOPOLOGIESOrganizational information mana<strong>ge</strong>ment practices can also be analyzed byconsidering information flows and topologies. A network perspective is notspecific to either the Bayesian or computational models. However, it cancomplement these frameworks by focusing on the economic importance ofinformation in contexts involving search and deliberation.Search is a process of scanning for news of the unknown or <strong>ge</strong>neratingcourses of action that improve on known alternatives. Search grows in importancewhen actors cannot independently or through market mechanisms meetobjectives in a cost-effective manner. Deliberation occurs when exchan<strong>ge</strong> iscontemplated with unfamiliar partners or when evaluating untried courses ofaction. Deliberation grows in importance with the perception that potentialdownside effects of a decision miscalculation can be lar<strong>ge</strong> and costly toreverse (Rangan, 2000).Economic treatments of search typically focus on identifying optimal stoppingpoints given uncertainty in parametric distributions (Stigler, 1961;Diamond, 1989), while computational treatments emphasize algorithmic efficiency.A third factor focuses on the role of information flows and networktopologies when search or deliberation are problematic (Watts et al., 2002).Structuring a solution space optimally involves grouping the possiblechoices into well-balanced groups or trees such that, starting from scratch, aset of well-asked questions can identify all choices in the lowest avera<strong>ge</strong> time.In searching for job candidates, for example, criteria ought to cover all necessaryattributes while not placing everyone in the same lar<strong>ge</strong> pool. One wouldalso not waste time by interviewing the weakest candidates first. If the criteriafor search cannot be articulated in advance, then the problem itself is unstructured.Search then involves sampling broadly to discover important criteriabefore structuring the solution.Hypothesis 9a: Efficient information search relies on structuring a solutionto provide a balanced index, sorting choices to provide best options first, and

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!