The U.S. Climate Change Science Program Glossary <strong>and</strong> Acronyms 162
REFERENCES References marked with (*) are non peer-reviewed literature <strong>and</strong> are available upon request. CHAPTER 1 REFERENCES Blatter, J. <strong>and</strong> H. Ingram, 2001: Reflections on Water: New Approaches <strong>to</strong> Transboundary Conflicts <strong>and</strong> Cooperation. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 358 pp. Carbone, G.J. <strong>and</strong> K. Dow, 2005: Water resource management <strong>and</strong> drought forecasts in South Carolina. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41(1), 145-155. Carlile, P., 2002: A pragmatic view of knowledge <strong>and</strong> boundaries: boundary objects in new product development. Organization Science, 13(4), 442-455. Carlile, P.R., 2004: Transferring, translating <strong>and</strong> transforming: an integrative framework for managing knowledge across boundaries. Organization Science, 15(5), 555-568. Cash, D.W., 2001: In order <strong>to</strong> aid in diff<strong>using</strong> useful <strong>and</strong> practical information: agricultural extension <strong>and</strong> boundary organizations. Science, Technology, & Human Values, 26(4), 431-453. Cash, D.W. <strong>and</strong> J. Buizer, 2005: Knowledge-Action Systems for Seasonal <strong>to</strong> Interannual Climate Forecasting: Summary of a Workshop. National Academies Press, Washing<strong>to</strong>n, DC, 44 pp. Cash, D.W., W.C. Clark, F. Alcock, N.M. Dickson, N. Eckley, D.H. Gus<strong>to</strong>n, J. Jäger, <strong>and</strong> R.B.H. Mitchell, 2003: Knowledge systems for sustainable development. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(14), 8086-8091. CCSP (Climate Change Science Program), 2008: Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Climate Change Science Program for Fiscal Year 2008. A Report by the Climate Change Science Program <strong>and</strong> the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, A Supplement <strong>to</strong> the President’s Fiscal Year 2008 Budget. U.S. Climate Change Science Program, Washing<strong>to</strong>n, DC, 212 pp. Clarkson, J.M. <strong>and</strong> E.T. Smerdon, 1989: Effects of climate change on water resources. Phi Kappa Phi Journal, Winter, 29-31. de Villiers, M., 2003: Water: The Fate of Our Most Precious Resource. McClell<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Stewart, Toron<strong>to</strong>, 453 pp. <strong>Decision</strong>-Support Experiments <strong>and</strong> Evaluations <strong>using</strong> Seasonal <strong>to</strong> Interannual Forecasts <strong>and</strong> Observational Data: A Focus on Water Resources Dewulf, A., B. Gray, L. Putnam, N. Aarts, R. Lewicki, R. Bouwen, <strong>and</strong> C. Van Woerkum, 2005: Disentangling approaches <strong>to</strong> framing: mapping the terrain. Presented at: 18th Annual Conference of the International Association for Conflict Management, June 12-15, 2005, Seville, Spain. Feldman, M.S., A.M. Khadamian, H. Ingram, <strong>and</strong> A.S. Schneider, 2006: Ways of knowing <strong>and</strong> inclusive management practices. Public Administration Review, 66(s1), 89-99. Gleick, P.H. (ed.), 2000: Water: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability <strong>and</strong> Change for the Water Resources of the United States. Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment, <strong>and</strong> Security, Oakl<strong>and</strong>, CA, 151 pp. Gus<strong>to</strong>n, D.H., 2001: Boundary organizations in environmental science <strong>and</strong> policy: an introduction. Science, Technology, <strong>and</strong> Human Values, 26(4), 399-408. Hamlet, A.F., D. Huppert, <strong>and</strong> D.P. Lettenmaier, 2002: Economic value of long-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower. Journal of Water Resources Planning <strong>and</strong> Management, 128(2), 91-101. Hartmann, H.C., T.C. Pagano, S. Sorooshian, <strong>and</strong> R. Bales, 2002: Confidence builders: evaluating <strong>seasonal</strong> climate forecasts from user perspectives. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83(5), 683-698. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007a: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I <strong>to</strong> the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, <strong>and</strong> H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, <strong>and</strong> New York, 996 pp. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007b: Summary for policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II <strong>to</strong> the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Parry, M.L., O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden, <strong>and</strong> C.E. Hanson (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, <strong>and</strong> New York, pp. 7-22. Jacobs, K.L. <strong>and</strong> J.M. Holway, 2004: Managing for sustainability in an arid climate: lessons learned from 20 years of groundwater management in Arizona, USA. Hydrogeology Journal, 12(1), 52-65. 163
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract ........
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TABLE OF CONTENTS 5................
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors would
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ABSTRACT Faced with mounting pressu
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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PREFACE Report Motivation and Guida
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES.1 WHAT IS DECI
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• Improved bias corrections in ex
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• • ness with customized produc
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CHAPTER 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION Increasi
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western United States and is the ba
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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Study or Experiment Chapter CPC Sea
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Study or Experiment Chapter Interpr
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Study or Experiment Chapter Integra
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Study or Experiment Chapter Regiona
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Study or Experiment Chapter Murray-
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Study or Experiment Chapter Integra
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Study or Experiment Chapter Regiona
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Study or Experiment Chapter Murray-
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CHAPTER 2 KEY FINDINGS Decision-Sup
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2.1 INTRODUCTION In the past, water
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data and forecast products that sup
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BOX 2.2: Forecast Approaches Decisi
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cal elements, including models, dat
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a sub-seasonal lead time, the singl
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The hydrologic and water resources
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forecasts link to CPC drought produ
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losses of snowpack and the tendenci
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At NCEP, the dynamical tool, CFS, i
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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2.4.1 Improving Seasonal-to- Intera
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climate variations. The rationale f
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2.4.2.2 improvementS in hydrologic
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BOX 2.3: The CPC Seasonal Drought O
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Koch’s research to operational pr
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BOX 2.4: What Role Can a "Testbed"
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satisfy all users. The Advanced Hyd
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CHAPTER 3 KEY FINDINGS Decision-Sup
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discuss impediments to forecast inf
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Commission (SRBC) to pave the way f
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BOX 3.1: Georgia Drought Decision-S
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Figure 3.1 Water resources decision
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frameworks for decision making are
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Adaptive capacity is the least expl
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tions, discussion, feedback, and re
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water quality in downstream reservo
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25 years, as predicted by the Energ
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forecasting, however, is hampered b
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3.2.5 Reliability and Trustworthine
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mental conditions (e.g., demands fo
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it must involve an extended group o
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egional population and economic gro
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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to the gravity of its consequences.
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Decision-Support Experiments and Ev
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CHAPTER 4 KEY FINDINGS Decision-Sup
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including ecological restoration, r
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For example, observed global sea-le
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into the Pacific Ocean. The Norther
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leaders in considering climate chan
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