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<strong>Vectron</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />
Market environment<br />
Despite an ongoing financial crisis and economic downturn, the market of POS<br />
systems is still pretty stable with slight cyclicality in sales compared to other<br />
industries. In fact, the macroeconomic factors weakly influence the POS system<br />
market. Of course in times of economic slowdown, consumers buy less goods, but<br />
they still making purchases, just shopping differently, shifting their buying<br />
preferences from expensive goods to cheaper ones. Therefore, the demand for<br />
POS systems changes less drastically in comparison to the demand for other<br />
goods.<br />
Advances in technology, lower prices, and a need of modernization have been<br />
some of the factors that have fuelled POS market till 2007 when the market had<br />
been increasing both in terms of value and quantity. Over the period 2005 till 2007<br />
the European market was on the growing path but with a declining trend<br />
afterwards. Thus, the overall amount of units sold (installations) in European<br />
market has been ranging within 890 to 1004 thousand units. However, according to<br />
the estimation of IC Consulting, the European market development of POS system<br />
will turn positive in 2009. This trend will sustain till 2011 reaching 988.7 thousand<br />
units at an average annual growth of 1.8%.<br />
The development of the European POS systems market in units (in thousands)<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
812,5<br />
Source: IC Consulting 2009; CBS Research <strong>AG</strong><br />
The cyclical trend of European market is mostly attributable to fluctuations of<br />
Western European market (UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Austria,<br />
Switzerland, Benelux and Nordic countries) which achieved market saturation on a<br />
high level. The market size in Western Europe ranges between 812.5 to 900<br />
thousand units over the period 2005-2011E period indicating an annual average<br />
growth rate of 1%.<br />
In comparison, the markets in Eastern European countries show a sturdy growing<br />
trend in the given period and will rise to 128.6 thousand units in 2011E with the<br />
average annual growth rate of 8.6%. In fact, the biggest retail chains are expanding<br />
faster in Eastern European countries than in Western Europe. Poland, Hungary,<br />
Slovakia, Czech Republic and Romania are widening and modernizing their retail<br />
markets, which includes shops automation and an increase of POS demand in<br />
these countries. However, the market share of Eastern European countries within<br />
the total European market is still small.<br />
www.cbseydlerresearch.ag<br />
852,9<br />
890,8 943,2 1004<br />
899,9<br />
848,1 784,9 820 860,1<br />
952,3 891,8 937,2 988,7<br />
78,3 90,3 104,1 104,2 106,9 117,2 128,6 200<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E 2011E<br />
Europe (Western and Eastern) Western Europe Eastern Europe<br />
POS market less prone<br />
to current economic<br />
downturn<br />
IC consulting expects<br />
for the European<br />
market a growth of<br />
1.8% in 2009<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
Close Brothers Seydler Research <strong>AG</strong> | 21<br />
0<br />
Saturated market in<br />
Western Europe<br />
Eastern European<br />
markets still on a<br />
growth path