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<strong>Vectron</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />
Operating performance<br />
Source: CBS Research <strong>AG</strong>, <strong>Vectron</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> <strong>AG</strong>; * Pro-forma results, ** excluding other<br />
<strong>Vectron</strong>, has meanwhile, built up a sound financial background and boosted its<br />
equity ratio to approximately 70%. The equity improvement was driven by cash<br />
inflow of EUR 5.6m from the successful IPO and a strong cash flow generation in<br />
its operating business. The company utilized the cash inflow from the IPO to repay<br />
bank debts of EUR 2.2m and to expand its business.<br />
Given the significant drop in net income, the company´s operating cash flow<br />
declined from EUR 4.28m in FY 2007 to EUR 1.89m. The decline was also caused<br />
by a significant increase in inventories as well as by cash taxes payments of EUR<br />
2.66m. However, <strong>Vectron</strong> managed to slightly increase its cash and cash<br />
equivalents to EUR 7.64m in FY 2008 which mainly improved due to proceeds from<br />
a new jouissance capital of EUR 2.00m.<br />
Revenue forecasts and gross profits<br />
www.cbseydlerresearch.ag<br />
In EUR m 2006* 2007 2008<br />
Sales 20.90 25.42 23.60<br />
YoY Growth - 22% -7%<br />
Total output** 20.9 25.34 23.62<br />
YoY growth - 21% -7%<br />
Cost of materials -8.00 -9.07 -8.70<br />
as % of total output 38% 36% 37%<br />
Gross profit 12.90 16.27 14.91<br />
Gross profit margin 62% 64% 63%<br />
EBIT 3.20 5.59 3.81<br />
EBIT margin 15% 22% 16%<br />
Net income 1.60 3.00 2.56<br />
Prior to the current ongoing recession, <strong>Vectron</strong> achieved a top-line growth of C<strong>AG</strong>R<br />
21.9% over the period 2005 to 2007. We expect this trend to slow-down to a C<strong>AG</strong>R<br />
of 12.3% until 2012E as consequence of the current recessive macroeconomic<br />
environment and the slowing growth pace in its underlying market. In our opinion,<br />
the current economic downturn will last throughout the entire FY 2009E, in which<br />
customers will continue to hold back their investments.<br />
<strong>Vectron</strong> faces the current challenging market environment with a counter-cyclical<br />
strategy by streamlining its product portfolio and by forcing its internationalization.<br />
Overall, the company intends to take advantage of the current economic recession<br />
to improve its market position and to achieve disproportional growth afterwards.<br />
Overall, our forecasts are based on the following growth drivers:<br />
� International business expansion: The company´s international<br />
business is expected to evolve to a main revenue pillar over the next<br />
years. <strong>Vectron</strong> uses the current weak market environment to establish a<br />
substantial international distribution network. Therefore, the company<br />
added further sales resources in FY 2008 in order to acquire distribution<br />
partners with significant selling power in their corresponding markets.<br />
Sound financial<br />
background without<br />
bank debts<br />
High cash taxes<br />
weighed on CFs<br />
We expect a slowdown<br />
in top-line growth<br />
<strong>Vectron</strong> faces the<br />
current recessive<br />
market conditions with<br />
a counter-cyclical<br />
expansion strategy<br />
Close Brothers Seydler Research <strong>AG</strong> | 26