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Cohort mortality in Sweden (pdf)

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Introduction<strong>Cohort</strong> <strong>mortality</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Sweden</strong>Differences between cohorts and periodFrom a cohort perspective, we follow the <strong>in</strong>dividuals from birth andforward <strong>in</strong> time. The solidStraight l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> figure 1.1 shows the cohortborn <strong>in</strong> 1890. In 1970 the cohort has reached the age of 80. Thedeath<strong>mortality</strong> rate for the cohort born <strong>in</strong> 1890 shows a U-shapedcurve with a high death<strong>mortality</strong> rate among the youngest people(the solid l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> figure 1.2). Around the age of 15, thedeath<strong>mortality</strong> rate is lowest, and then rises with <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gris<strong>in</strong>gage. A sharply <strong>in</strong>creased death<strong>mortality</strong> rate occurs at age 28 occurs.This was of course due to the Spanish flu. In 1918 the cohort born <strong>in</strong>1890 had reached age 28.From a perspective of periods, we look <strong>in</strong>stead at the <strong>mortality</strong> rates<strong>in</strong> different ages dur<strong>in</strong>g a certa<strong>in</strong> calendar year. Figure 1.2 presentsthe <strong>mortality</strong> rate by age for calendar years 1917 and 1918 (see thedotted curves). As illustrated <strong>in</strong> the figure, the <strong>mortality</strong> rate ishigher <strong>in</strong> 1918 than <strong>in</strong> 1917. Excess <strong>mortality</strong> <strong>in</strong> 1918 can be seen notonly for one age but for an entire age span from around age 5 up toage 60. The sharpest excess <strong>mortality</strong> is noted for those aged 20 to30.Figure 1.1Period and cohort perspective. Calendar year 1918 and cohort born <strong>in</strong>1890Age8060Periodperspective.Year 1918<strong>Cohort</strong>born1890402001880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980Year12 Statistics <strong>Sweden</strong>

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