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Cohort mortality in Sweden (pdf)

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<strong>Cohort</strong> <strong>mortality</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Sweden</strong> Mortality trendsdevelopment 1860 to 19704. Mortality trendsdevelopment1860 to 1970Information on demographic occurrences is usually produced forone calendar year at a time. In addition, analysis of developmentover time is normally connected with comparisons of calendaryears. The presentation of <strong>mortality</strong> trendsdevelopment <strong>in</strong> thischapter and the follow<strong>in</strong>g chapter will follow this template. The aimis to get athe general overviewteacher of <strong>mortality</strong>trendsdevelopment based on period data prior to the presentation of<strong>mortality</strong> trendsdevelopment for cohorts that follows <strong>in</strong> Chapter 6.The downturn <strong>in</strong> <strong>mortality</strong> of children and young people is due tothe decrease of <strong>in</strong>fectious diseases. This downturn actually began atthe end of the 18th century. One factor beh<strong>in</strong>d this development isthe <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g awareness of the importance of hygiene. Anotherexplanation is that the most <strong>in</strong>fectious diseases changed characterand became less deadly than before (Hofsten 1986, page 39). Yetanother factor that could have had a restra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g effect on the spreadof <strong>in</strong>fectious diseases is the pattern of settlement. Dur<strong>in</strong>g thebeg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of 19th century, the previously dense settlements <strong>in</strong>villages became more spread out <strong>in</strong> the countryside. Still at themiddle of the 19th century, only 10 percent of the population lived<strong>in</strong> cities.By the middle of the 18th century, <strong>in</strong>fant <strong>mortality</strong> was very highand one <strong>in</strong> five children died before the age of one. Infant <strong>mortality</strong>rema<strong>in</strong>ed high at the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the 19th century, but had begunto drop more and more rapidly . Around 1965, <strong>in</strong>fant <strong>mortality</strong> hadfallen so much that only 15 of 1000 boys and 12 of 1000 girls haddied before the age of one. Figure 4 .1 illustrates that <strong>mortality</strong>dropped not only for <strong>in</strong>fants but for children and young people aswell. The <strong>mortality</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation refers to an average of 10-yearperiods, and thus the annual variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>mortality</strong> are hidden.However, the more long-term trend of <strong>mortality</strong> is apparent. Thedownturn <strong>in</strong> <strong>mortality</strong> began around 1770. After a period ofdecl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>mortality</strong>, the trend suddenly turned upwards <strong>in</strong> themiddle of the 19th century. The break <strong>in</strong> the downturn iscommented by Sundbärg as follows: ”…. ButStatistics <strong>Sweden</strong> 23

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