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Evaluating non-randomised intervention studies - NIHR Health ...

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<strong>Health</strong> Technology Assessment 2003; Vol. 7: No. 27Chapter 5Use of quality assessment in systematic reviewsof <strong>non</strong>-<strong>randomised</strong> <strong>studies</strong>IntroductionAs we have discussed in some detail in previouschapters, the principal difference between<strong>randomised</strong> and <strong>non</strong>-<strong>randomised</strong> <strong>studies</strong> lies inthe latter’s considerable susceptibility to selectionbias. Concealed randomisation specificallyremoves the possibility of selection bias orconfounding in RCTs, i.e. any differences betweenthe groups are attributable to chance or to the<strong>intervention</strong>, all else being equal. 20 For <strong>non</strong><strong>randomised</strong><strong>studies</strong>, confounding between groupsis likely. Whatever the method of allocation, thereasons for the choice of an <strong>intervention</strong> can beinfluenced by subtle clues that are not easilyidentifiable but which may relate, for example, tothe patient’s prognosis. 3 Treatment selection maybe confounded by differences in case-mix, but alsoby use of concomitant healthcare <strong>intervention</strong>s orvariation in the outcome assessment process, forexample where allocation is influenced bygeographical location or temporal differences. Anyassessment of the degree of selection biasintroduced by <strong>non</strong>-random methods of allocationis of primary importance for systematic reviews of<strong>non</strong>-<strong>randomised</strong> <strong>studies</strong>.Empirical evidence for the impact of assessingstudy quality on the results of systematic reviews islimited. However, work on RCTs generallyindicates that low-quality trials can lead to adistortion of true treatment effects. 20,21,59,115,116Furthermore, it has been shown that the choice ofquality scale can dramatically influence theinterpretation of meta-analyses, and can evenreverse conclusions regarding the effectiveness ofan <strong>intervention</strong>. 59 This lends support to the needfor careful choice of a quality assessment tool andfor consideration of the impact of study quality ona review’s conclusions.Recent guidelines for the reporting of meta-analysesof observational <strong>studies</strong> 117 recommend the“assessment of confounding, study quality andheterogeneity” to be clearly reported in themethods section of these reviews but moreoverthat “thorough specification of quality assessmentcan contribute to understanding some of thevariations in the observational <strong>studies</strong> themselves”.The results of quality assessment can be used in asystematic review in several ways, 92 includingforming inclusion criteria for the review orprimary analysis; informing a sensitivity analysisor meta-regression; weighting <strong>studies</strong>; orhighlighting areas of methodological qualitypoorly addressed by the included <strong>studies</strong> and theimpact of this on the review’s conclusions.The objectives of the study described in thischapter are to estimate the extent to which qualityassessment has been used in systematic reviews of<strong>non</strong>-<strong>randomised</strong> <strong>studies</strong> and can adequatelyidentify the sources of potential bias, and todescribe the methods used to incorporate theresults of the quality assessment into theconclusions of a review.MethodsStudy selectionWe sought systematic reviews evaluating theintended effect of an <strong>intervention</strong> and thatincluded at least one <strong>non</strong>-<strong>randomised</strong> study.Data sourcesThe NHS Centre for Reviews and DisseminationDatabase of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness(DARE) was used to identify reviews. This is adatabase of quality-assessed systematic reviewsidentified by handsearching key major medicaljournals, regular searching of electronicbibliographic databases and scanning ‘grey’literature since 1994 (further details aboutDARE can be found athttp://agatha.york.ac.uk/darehp.htm). All reviewsentered in DARE up to December 1999 werescreened for inclusion. Further searches ofprimary databases with the aim of identifyingadditional systematic reviews not indexed inDARE were not carried out; however, any suchreviews identified from the other searches for theproject (see Chapters 3 and 4) were assessed forinclusion.43© Queen’s Printer and Controller of HMSO 2003. All rights reserved.

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