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Country DisasterStartdateTotal no. ofpeople displaced**Duration ofdisplacement*No. of peoplestill displacedin 2014/2015Comment: Figures and sources Comment: SituationCanada ManitobafloodsApr 2011 2,100 4 yrs, 1 mth 2,100 Source: Wookey Films, May 2015.Evacuees dispersed in hotels andtemporary housing in Winnipeg andManitoba.Political conflict between First Nation people, private actors andfederal and local government Little public supportReturn not a safe or sustainable option; awaiting relocation; plansfor rebuilding at a standstill Some returns to condemned homesand contaminated reserves due to harsh conditions in cityDiscrimination against indigenous communitiesFamilies weakened by separation, rise in substance abuse, andsuicideEthiopia NabrovolcanoeruptionDec 2011 Unknown 3 yrs 1,800 Source: IOM, December 2014. Numberof people who remain displaced threeyears after the eruption.Lack of political will; lack of funds; many other displacement situationstake centre stage, hampering responseSafe return not possible because of risk of further volcanic activityAwaiting relocationFiji CycloneEvanDec 2012 8,416 1 yr, 10 mths At least 1,250 Source: Shelter cluster, October 2014.Number of people receiving reconstructionassistance in 2014.Lack of funds; difficulty in obtaining construction materials; IDPsinvisible among urban poorSome still awaiting relocationColombia Floods May 2010 1,500,000 4 yrs, 5mths1,050 Source: Shelter cluster, October 2014.Number of IDPs awaiting housingsolutions, who recieved assistance in2014. Latest displacement figure refersto a smaller geographical regionthan the initial estimate.Lack of income generation activities; lack of landFurther floods cause onward displacement for someMontserrat(UK)VolcaniceruptionJun 1997 7,000 17 yrs, 7mthsHundreds tothousandsSource: Government of Montserrat,January 2015. Hundreds of evacueesliving without indoor running waterand toilets in Montserrat, in addition tothousands in "exile" abroad and whoface numerous challenges includingdiscrimination.Lack of funds; lack of available landSafe return possible because of damage and risk of further volcanicactivitySome now living abroad face discrimination and reduced rights interms of voting and access to education98 Global <strong>Estimates</strong> 2015
Country DisasterStartdateTotal no. ofpeople displaced**Duration ofdisplacement*No. of peoplestill displacedin 2014/2015Comment: Figures and sources Comment: SituationCanada AlbertafloodsJun 2013 100,000 1 yr 930 Source: Globe and Mail (Canadianmedia), June 2014. Number of peoplestill in "government-supported temporaryaccomodation", in hotels or livingwith family and friends a year after thefloodsLack of available land; lack of political willReturn not possiblePopulation awaiting relocationDiscrimination against indigenous populationsBolivia La PazlandslideFeb 2011 1,000 3 yrs,5mthsAt least 400 Source: Government of Bolivia, July2014. Number of people displaced anddid not have permanent solutions untilthey were encouraged by governmentto move to appartments in city centre.Lack of land; lack of political willPopulation awaiting relocationSome IDPs want to stay in landslide zone to be near schools andlivelihoods, despite government restrictionsTonga CycloneIanJan 2014 6,030 1 yr, 2 mths At least 300 Source: Radio New Zealand, March2015. Number of IDPs who remain displacedand are waiting for their homesto be rebuilt.Unclear tenure and consent for building as owners are overseas;lack of available land; delays caused by government bureacracySome IDPs in the process of relocationAustralia CycloneOswald/BundabergfloodsJan 2013 7,500 1 yr, 4 mths At least 50 Source: NewsMail (Australian media),May 2014. Most are living with hostfamilies or in temporary accomodations.Lack of available land; delays in rebuilding processMental health impactsMyanmar CycloneNargisMay20082,250,000 At least 6yrsSome(Unknown)Source: Multiple (unquantified displacement).Number still displaced in2014 or 2015 is unknown, but numeroussources say some IDPs have notachieved durable solutions.High cost of relocation; lack of sustainable livelihood options; lackof available landOngoing disaster risk and repeated displacementUnitedStatesColoradofloodsSept2013101,470 1 yr, 5 mths Some(Unknown)Source: BizWest North Coloradonewspaper, February 2015. Of thetens of thousands who were initiallydisplaced, "some" have still not returned.The exact number of those stilldisplaced is unknown.Delays caused by government bureacracy; legal disputesHigh cost of reconstructionSome IDPs awaiting relocation* Duration of time from initial hazard impact date until latest report in 2014/2015** Source: IDMC data as of 1 June 2015. Under “Total displaced”, figures in brackets are location-specific, i.e. they reflect a proportion of the total number of people displaced.Annexes99
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Global Estimates 2015People displac
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IDMC core project teamCoordinator/l
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5. Mind your assumptions: Protracte
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FIGURES, TABLES AND MAPSFigure 2.1:
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Modelled global displacement trend
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1INTRODUCTIONSince 2008, an average
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2CONCEPTUALISINGDISPLACEMENTin the
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Box 2.1: Slow-onset hazards and gra
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Repeated and frequent displacementR
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3THE GLOBAL PICTUREScale, patterns
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Figure 3.2: Global displacement by
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Box 3.1: “Super” El Niño and d
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While more resilient families may b
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28 Global Estimates 2015A woman sta
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4.1 RegionsAs in previous years, As
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4.2 CountriesThe number of people d
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forward, the municipalities of Pasc
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4.4 The big three: China, India and
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Map 4.1: Philippines regions affect
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Displacement caused by seasonalfloo
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4.6 Multiple hazards in fragile and
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SPOTLIGHTAFGHANISTANBlurred lines b
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46 Global Estimates 2015A displaced
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Page 81 and 82: ANNEX AMethodologyIDMC’s annual G
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Page 102 and 103: REFERENCESSection 21. UNISDR, Termi
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