SPOTLIGHTAFGHANISTANBlurred lines between multipledrivers of displacementAfghanistan’s climate and terrain makeit highly prone to both slow and suddenonsetnatural hazards, including cyclicaldrought, earthquakes, floods, landslides,avalanches and extreme weather. Roughlyhalf of the country’s 400 districts aresusceptible and as many as 250,000 Afghansare affected each year, particularlyin the north of the country.The country ranks 176th of 177 on theNotre Dame global adaptation index,which assesses their vulnerability to climatechange and their ability to cope withits impacts. More than 35 years of armedconflict, environmental degradation andpoor investment in disaster risk reductionmean that its vulnerability to disasters isincreasing. 56Displacement in Afghanistan is drivenby a number of factors, including armedconflict, violence, serious human rightsviolations, disasters brought on by naturalhazards and development projects. 57 Ittakes place amid other dynamic populationmovements such as rural-to-urbanmigration and the mass return of refugees,which complicates the task of identifyingand assisting IDPs.Given the presence of internationalmilitary forces since 2004 and the resurgenceof the Taliban, the main driver ofdisplacement in recent years has beenconflict between Afghan National SecurityForces with international troopsagainst non-state armed groups. 58 Itseffects, however, are frequently madeworse by natural hazards and the disastersthey trigger, making it very difficultto identify one single factor behind IDPs’decision to flee their homes. The conflicthas also aggravated local tensions, suchas land disputes, leading to additional displacement59 , and impedes responses todisasters (see figure 4.11).Originally, we are from Herat.We lived in Koshakkona for 20years, but due to the droughtsin Koshakkona we moved toGulran district of Herat andstayed there for four or fiveyears. Due to the fightingbetween government andanti-government elements weshifted to our current location.Adult female IDP, Qala-e-Khonavillage, Helmand 60In spite of the overlap between peopleostensibly displaced by conflict and thosewho flee disasters, data about them isrecorded, tracked and assisted separately- the former by Afghanistan’s taskforceon IDPs, co-chaired by UNHCR and theMinistry of Refugees and Repatriation;and the latter by IOM and the AfghanistanNational Disaster Management Authority.Comprehensive information about IDPsdoes not exist and the picture is furthercomplicated by the lack of long-term assistancefor IDPs displaced by disasters.This has led significant numbers of peopleto report their displacement as relatedto insecurity in order to benefit from theseparate support available to those displacedby conflict. 61According to a 2014 study commissionedby IOM in Herat and Helmandprovinces, 55 per cent of IDPs identifiedinsecurity and armed conflict as the maindriver of their displacement. Thirty-twoper cent said they had fled a combinationof conflict and disasters, and 12.5 percent that their displacement was predominantlycaused by disasters, most often dryspells and drought. One per cent citedthe impact of “human made” hazards orhuman activity on their livelihoods, suchas international efforts to eradicate opiumpoppy, as the reason for their flight. 62IDPs who had fled to Herat from Ghorprovince said they had been displacedby a combination of tribal conflict, fightingbetween non-state armed groups,crop failure and ensuing food shortagescaused by drought. 63The study found that people who hadbeen displaced for longer periods of timewere more likely to want to integrate locally.64 It also revealed that the majorityof IDPs were undecided or unclear abouttheir settlement preferences, effectivelyleaving them in limbo regardless of the44 Global <strong>Estimates</strong> 2015
Figure 4.11: Drivers of displacement in Herat and HelmandOther man-made hazards 1%Natural hazards12.5%Both conflictand naturalhazards32%Conflict55%cause of their displacement (see figure4.12). It is also striking that very few IDPsconsidered returning to their places oforigin to be an option, including thosedisplaced primarily by natural hazards.Afghanistan’s first national policy onIDPs was adopted in November 2013, andapplies to all people forced to flee theirhomes as a result of military operations,Taliban abuses, disasters brought on bynatural hazards, development projects ora combination of causes. It also includespeople displaced by slow-onset disasterssuch as drought.The policy defines an IDP by the forcednature of their movement, rather than bya specific cause or agency mandate. Italso explicitly acknowledges that it “is notalways easy to clearly identify one factorthat forces families to flee”. 65 As such, itprovides an important tool to advocatefor a comprehensive and integrated responseto all drivers of displacement. Theinternational community should now supportthe Afghan authorities in their effortsto implement the policy effectively.Source: IOM/Samuel Hall Consulting, 2014. Data: IOM DTM, December 2013Figure 4.12: Settlement intentions of displaced householdsin Herat and HelmandPercentage of IDPs interviewed100Return to place of originSettle in third location806040200Integrate locallyUndecidedWaiting on one or several factors62% 68% 56% 71%13%25%Conflict3%27%Naturalhazards10%32%1%1%1%1%Both conflictand naturalhazards14%14%Otherman-madehazardsSource: IOM/Samuel Hall Consulting, 2014. Data: IOM DTM, December 20134 | Geographical distribution and the biggest events45
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REFERENCESSection 21. UNISDR, Termi
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34. NDRRMC, SitRep No.27 re Effects
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nation Group, October 2009, availab
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digidepo_8841940_po_076709.pdf?cont