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Figure 3.1: The global scale of displacement caused by disasters, 2008 to 2014People displaced (millions)50403020100WeatherGeophysical36.5m57%20.8m43%15.8m200816.7m91%15.3m42.4m90%38.3m15.0m92%13.9m32.4m98%31.7m22.3m92%20.4m9% 1.5m 10% 4.0m 8% 1.1m 2% 0.7m 8% 1.8m2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Average, 26.4m19.3m91%17.5m9% 1.7m2014Note: Differences in totals are due to rounding of figures to the nearest decimal point. Source: IDMC data as of 1 June 2015People displaced (millions)200150100500184.6m86%157.8m14%26.7m7 years3.1 The latest estimatesDisasters brought on by weatherrelatedand geophysical hazards forcedmore than 19.3 million people to leavetheir homes in 2014 (see figure 3.1). Thisestimate is based on 695 new displacementevents in 100 countries (see globalmap on the inside cover).Since 2008, an average of 26.4 millionpeople have been displaced by disasterseach year - equivalent to one person displacedevery second.3.2 Displacement by type ofhazardIn 2014, disasters associated withweather hazards, mostly floods andstorms, displaced more than 17.5 millionpeople, or 92 per cent of the global total.Storms were responsible for a higherthan average share of total displacement(see figure 3.2). The Atlantic hurricaneseason was relatively quiet, but the Pacificproduced the highest ever numberof storms ranked category four or higher,and equalled the modern record for thenumber of storms overall in a single season.1Most of the largest displacementsin 2014 were associated with weatherrelatedhazards. The three largest werecaused by typhoons and floods in thePhilippines and India (see table 3.1). Eightof the 20 largest disasters of the yearwere triggered by typhoons or tropicalstorms in Asia (see figure 4.4).Since 2008, an average of 22.5 millionpeople have been displaced by climate- orweather-related disasters. This is equivalentto 62,000 people every day.Climate change, on top of increasingexposure and vulnerability, is expected toexacerbate this trend further as the intensityand frequency of extreme weatherhazards increases in coming decades. 2Disasters related to geophysical hazards,primarily earthquakes and volcaniceruptions, displaced more than 1.7 millionpeople, or nine per cent of the 2014 total(see figure 3.2). Between 2008 and 2014,only three of the 37 disasters to displacemore than a million people were related togeophysical hazards - the 2008 Sichuanearthquake in China and the 2010 earthquakesin Haiti and Chile.3.3 Variance from year to yearAs can be seen in table 3.1, the totalnumber of people displaced varies greatlyfrom year to year, depending on the frequencyand size of the largest disasters.In 2014, 32 disasters displaced morethan 100,000 people, of which three displacedmore than a million. Together,those 32 accounted for 83 per cent of thetotal (see figure 3.3.b). This pattern wassimilar over the last seven-year period. In2008-2014, 34 disasters that displacedmore than a million people were responsiblefor two-thirds of the total (see table 3.1and figure 3.3.a). Such large-scale eventswere less frequent and relatively smallerin 2014, making the total for the year lowerthan the average of 26.4 million over theseven-year period.Displacements of fewer than 100,000people made up 95.4 per cent of theevents recorded in 2014, but only 17 percent of the total number displaced (seefigure 3.3b). A third of all events were verysmall, displacing fewer than 100 peopleeach, and their contribution to the globaltotal was negligible. At the same time, itshould be noted that small events tend tobe poorly reported in most countries andtheir true number is probably much higher.20 Global <strong>Estimates</strong> 2015
Figure 3.2: Global displacement by type of hazard2014 2008 - 2014Earthquakes8% 1.5mVolcanic eruptions 1% 245,000Earthquakes14% 25.8mExtreme temperatures 1% 958,000Storms29%53.9mFloods43%8.3mStorms48%9.1mFloods55%102mStorms Floods Wildfires Wet mass EarthquakesmovementsVolcaniceruptionsExtremetemperaturesDry massmovementsNote: figures rounded to nearest 1,000 or 100,000 Source: IDMC data as of 1 June 2015Table 3.1: Annual variance in disasters displacing more than a million people, 2008 to 2014YearVery large andmega eventsDisplaced(millions)HazardCountry2008 8 1.7 - 15.0 Earthquake, floods (4), storms (3) China (2) India (3), Myanmar, Philippines, US2009 3 1.6 - 2.5 Flood, cyclones (2) China, India (2)2010 7 1.0 - 15.2 Floods (5), earthquakes (2) Chile, China, Colombia (2), Haiti, Pakistan, Thailand2011 2 1.5 - 3.5 Floods (2) China, Thailand2012 8 1.4 - 6.9 Floods (5), storms (3) China (2), India (2), Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines (2)2013 6 1.0 - 4.1 Floods (2), storms (4) Bangladesh, China, India (2), Philippines (2)2014 3 1.1 - 3.0 Storms (2), flood India, Philippines (2)Figure 3.3: Displacement by scale of eventa) 2008-2014: Proportion of total displaced per year by event size100807%13%1%11%5%33%1%11%1%6%2%9%17%b) 2014: Displacement by event size compared withnumber of events at different scalesi. People displacedii. EventsPercentages604039%88%62%65%53%71%52%17% 3.3m52%10.0m95.4%663 events20041%20082009201023%201140%201218%201331%201431%5.9m4.2% 29 events0.4% 3 eventsVery small to medium events(fewer than 100,000 displaced)Large events(100,000 - 999,999 displaced)Very large events(1 - 3 million displaced)Mega events(>3 million displaced)Note: All percentages are rounded. Source: IDMC data as of 1 June 20153 | The global picture: scales, patterns and trends21
Page 1: Global Estimates 2015People displac
Page 4 and 5: IDMC core project teamCoordinator/l
Page 7 and 8: 5. Mind your assumptions: Protracte
Page 9 and 10: FIGURES, TABLES AND MAPSFigure 2.1:
Page 11 and 12: Modelled global displacement trend
Page 13 and 14: 1INTRODUCTIONSince 2008, an average
Page 15 and 16: 2CONCEPTUALISINGDISPLACEMENTin the
Page 17 and 18: Box 2.1: Slow-onset hazards and gra
Page 19 and 20: Repeated and frequent displacementR
Page 21: 3THE GLOBAL PICTUREScale, patterns
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Page 38 and 39: 4.4 The big three: China, India and
Page 40 and 41: Map 4.1: Philippines regions affect
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Page 44 and 45: 4.6 Multiple hazards in fragile and
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SPOTLIGHTUNITED STATESDisplaced peo
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assistance available and implementa
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6THE POST-2015GLOBAL POLICYAGENDAKe
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A landslide devastated villages in
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ANNEX AMethodologyIDMC’s annual G
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protracted displacement situations
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Data on housing rendereduninhabitab
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Modelling and calibration usingthe
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We also asked each interviewee toth
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RankingCountry Hazard Affected area
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* Text in parentheses indicates the
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Country DisasterStartdateTotal no.
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REFERENCESSection 21. UNISDR, Termi
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34. NDRRMC, SitRep No.27 re Effects
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nation Group, October 2009, availab
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digidepo_8841940_po_076709.pdf?cont
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