Map 5.3: Ongoing displacement in the Hunza valley following the 2010 Attabad landslideArea buried by the landslideSettlementMaximum flooded area, July 2010Batura Glacier0 5 kmShimshal Riv eKarakoram highwayrFlooded portion of Karakoram highwayPasuTURKMENISTANTAJ IKIS TANCHINAPasuGlacier!BorithKharamabadAFGHANISTAN!Jammu &KashmirGhulkin GlacierHussainiZarabadP A K I S T A NGulmit GlacierGhulkinIRANINDIA90 displaced peopleHunza RiverNote: AAll r adisplacement b i a n S e a figures are as of May 2015Sources: N. Cook and D. Butz, November 2013;GulmitShishkat900 displacedpeopleAhmadabadM. Sökefeld, 2012; IDMC interview, May 2015900 displaced people190 displaced peopleSalmanabadSaratAttabadAinabadthe displacement of the remaining IDPs. 128The Pakistan Red Crescent Societyand Focus Humanitarian Assistance, anorganisation affiliated to the Aga KhanDevelopment Network, have also providedIDPs with assistance. 129 Focus distributedtwo months’ worth of aid from theWorld Food Programme, paid for with aUSAID grant. The Aga Khan Rural SupportProgramme set up a business revitalisationprogramme and a cash-for-workproject, and the government has providedschool subsidies. 130 Since 2014, two riverambulances have been transporting peopleto medical facilities downstream fromthe dam as part of a USAID programme. 131Overall, much less assistance was deliveredthan originally promised. Nor weredifferent programmes well coordinated,and government officials were accusedof corruption. 132 A series of protests wereorganised against the authorities’ perceivedinaction in draining the lake, anduntimely and inadequate assistance. InAugust 2011, police killed two protestingIDPs and injured another three, which triggeredfurther rallies and led to the arrestof a number of demonstrators on seditionand other charges. 133A Chinese state company is building anew section of road which, if it opens asplanned in August 2015, will complete theKarakoram highway again. This shouldhelp the valley’s inhabitants, includingthe remaining IDPs, to at least partiallyre-establish their former lives and livelihoodsby restoring their access to markets,services, education and employmentopportunities further south.They will also be able to work in thetransport sector and set up small roadsidebusinesses again, but opportunitiesto return to cultivating cash crops will belimited for a number of years to come. Thelake no longer covers much of the area’sarable land, but it has left it covered ina thick layer of sediment, making it verydifficult to farm. 13466 Global <strong>Estimates</strong> 2015
SPOTLIGHTJAPANLiving in limbo four years after theTōhoku earthquake, tsunami andnuclear accident disasterIn March 2011, a powerful earthquakeoff the east coast of Japan triggered anunprecedented disaster in the region ofTohoku. The magnitude 9.0 event wasthe strongest ever to hit the country, andcaused a tsunami on a scale expectedonly once in 1,000 years. 135 Most of the immediatedamage and losses were linkedto the tsunami, including the deaths of18,479 people and the inundation of theemergency generators needed to cool thereactors at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclearpower station. 136 The power failure led tothe meltdown of three reactors and theworst radiation leaks since the 1986 Chernobyldisaster in Ukraine.More than 470,000 people were forcedto flee their homes, and four years lateraround 230,000 are still displaced and unableto achieve durable solutions. 137 Highlevels of radiation, low levels of trust inofficial information and poor consultationwith the communities affected have delayedsolutions for IDPs who are unableor unwilling to return to their homes. Mostare from Fukushima prefecture, where164,865 people living near the damagednuclear plant were evacuated. Accordingto official figures, 116,284 were still displacedas of March 2015 (see figure 5.8). 138Wide areas around the damaged nuclearplant were still under evacuationorders as of October 2014, as shown inmap 5.4. In May 2015, the governmentannounced its intention to lift its ordersin remaining parts of areas one and twowithin two years, 139 but the number of peoplewho have returned or intend to returnremains low. 140 Many are still concernedabout radiation levels, and unsure as towhether they would be able to resumea normal life. 141 It is unlikely that return toarea three will be permitted for the foreseeablefuture.Some people living in parts of Fukushimanot officially designated evacuationzones left of their own accord becauseof increased radiation levels. There isno systematic data on those who did so,but research suggests that many weremothers with young children who fearedhealth risks, and who left their husbandsbehind to work and support their families.142 Mandatory evacuees from officialzones are eligible for compensation accordingto the category of area they left,with payments ending a year after theevacuation orders are lifted. In contrast,voluntary or unofficial evacuees receivelittle compensation and are not entitledto the same assistance. 143 This differingtreatment, anxiety about radiation risks,varying attitudes towards return and thegeneral instability of IDPs’ situations havecombined to create tensions within affectedcommunities and families, andhave led some couples to divorce. 144Many evacuees had to move a numberof times in the first six months after thedisaster, 145 which has also contributed tothe splitting up of members of the samehouseholds. Forty-seven per cent ofthose surveyed towards the end of 2011said they had moved three or four times,and 36 per cent five or six times. Someyounger adults have made their owntemporary housing arrangements, suchas renting apartments, while older generationshave stayed in the prefabricatedfacilities provided. Some IDPs have left forother parts of the country. 146Given their disrupted livelihoods anddispersed and divided communities, neithermandatory nor voluntary evacueeshave been unable to plan for the future,and prospects for a return to normality aredwindling. In the immediate aftermath ofthe disaster, evacuees’ primary concernwas when they would be able to returnhome. Four years on, however, it is primarilyolder residents, and particularly thosestill living in temporary housing, who longto return.5 | Mind your assumptions: Protracted displacement following disasters67
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