REFERENCESSection 21. UNISDR, Terminology on DRR, 2009,available at http://goo.gl/vOFVwP2. IPCC, Fifth Assessment Report, November20143. ibid4. ibid5. UN, Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement,1998, available at http://goo.gl/uVW0DW6. Kaelin, W, The Nansen Initiative,Discussion Paper on the Relationshipbetween Climate Change and HumanMobility, April 20157. IPCC, Fifth Assessment Report, November20148. IPCC, Fifth Assessment Report, WorkingGroup II, chapter 29, available athttp://goo.gl/3M4oGw9. IPCC, Fifth Assessment Report, WorkingGroup II, chapter 12, p.14, availableat http://goo.gl/7uWvQF10. The Guardian, Western Antarctic icesheet collapse has already begunscientists warn, 12 May 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/1l1UTr11. IPCC, Fifth Assessment Report, WorkingGroup II, chapter 29, available athttp://goo.gl/3M4oGw12. ibid13. ibid14. ibid15. Kuruppu N, Adapting water resourcesto climate change in Kiribati: the importanceof cultural values and meanings,Environmental Science & Policy,12(7), 2009, pp.799-809; Lata S andNunn P, Misperceptions of climatechangerisk as barriers to climatechangeadaptation: a case study fromthe Rewa Delta, Fiji, Climatic Change,110 (1-2), 2012, pp.169-186.16. ibid; Cernea M, Impoverishment Risks,Risk Management and Reconstruction:A Model of Population Displacementand Resettlement, 1996, available athttp://goo.gl/JBWB4m17. ibid, Cernea.18. Kaelin, W, Discussion Paper on theRelationship between Climate Changeand Human Mobility, The NansenInitiative, April 201519. IDMC, Urban informal settlersdisplaced by disasters: challenges tohousing responses, June 2015, availableat http://goo.gl/Nd3Uqw; IDMC,20. ibidHome sweet home: housing practicesand tools that support durable solutionsfor urban IDPs, March 2015,available at http://goo.gl/daEric21. IDMC and NRC, Assessing droughtdisplacement risk for Kenyan, Ethiopianand Somali Pastoralists, technicalpaper, 26 April 2014, available athttp://goo.gl/bVLigv22. IPCC, Climate Change 2014: SynthesisReport, 2015, available at http://goo.gl/CaSqqn23. ibid24. IASC, Operational Guidelines on theProtection of Persons in Situations ofNatural Disasters, January 2011, availableat http://goo.gl/Y2DQFZ25. UN, Guiding Principles on InternalDisplacement, guiding principle no.7,1998, available at http://goo.gl/uVW0DW26. IOM/CCCM, The MEND Guide:Comprehensive Guide for PlanningMass Evacuations in Natural Disasters,2014, available at http://goo.gl/xWejTS27. UN, Sendai Framework for DisasterRisk Reduction 2015-2030, 7 April2015, available at http://goo.gl/AGc9st28. ABC, How much warning do you getwhen a tsunami happens? 17 December2014, available at http://goo.gl/cMg7nV29. UN, Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement,1998, available at http://goo.gl/uVW0DW30. IOM, Compendium of IOM’s Activitiesin Disaster Risk Reduction andResilience, 2013, p.231, available athttp://goo.gl/irgl4a; UK GovernmentOffice for Science, Migration andGlobal Environmental Change: FutureChallenges and Opportunities, 2011,p.48, available at http://goo.gl/hLa9aI31. Forced Migration Review, Disastersand displacement in a changingclimate: The state of evidence, May2015, p12, available at http://goo.gl/wDclJO; Brookings Institution,Disasters and Displacement: WhatWe Know, What We Don’t Know, 9June 2014, available at http://goo.gl/be9Qr032. Long K, Permanent crises? Unlockingthe protracted displacement of refugeesand internally displaced persons,October 2011, available at http://goo.gl/GCUIag33. UNHCR and Brookings-Bern Projecton Internal Displacement, Expertseminar on protracted IDP situations,21-22 June 2007, p.2, available athttp://goo.gl/b8rRQJ34. UNHCR, War’s human cost: Globaltrends 2013, 20 June 2014, p.12, availableat http://goo.gl/t33zpb35. For example, see IDMC, Briefing paperon flood-displaced women in SindhProvince, Pakistan, 2011, available athttp://www.internal-displacement.org/assets/library/Asia/Pakistan/pdf/Pakistan-Briefing-Paper-on-Flooding-2011.pdf36. UK Government Office for Science,Foresight: Migration and GlobalEnvironmental Change Final ProjectReport, 2011, available at https://goo.gl/IKpDm337. UN, Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement,1998, available at http://goo.gl/uVW0DW38. Nansen Initiative, Cross-border displacementin the context of disastersand climate change: A protectionagenda, Draft for consultation, 08April 201139. ibid40. ibid41. IASC, Framework on Durable Solutionsfor Internally Displaced Persons,April 2010, http://goo.gl/8HxQhk42. ibidSection 31. Weather Channel, 2014 HurricaneSeason in Review: Eight Things We’llRemember, 1 December 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/JQaMA72. IPCC Special report on managing therisks of extreme events and disastersto advance climate change adaptation(SREX), 18 November 2011.3. IDMC, Disaster-related displacementrisk: Measuring the risk and addressingits drivers, March 2014, available athttp://goo.gl/NDQ6Wn4. ibid5. IPCC, Managing the risks of extremeevents and disasters to advanceclimate change adaptation (SREX), 18November 2011, available at https://goo.gl/Z5YcIJ; IPCC, Fifth AssessmentReport: Climate change 2014:Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability,available at https://goo.gl/R3X38W100 Global <strong>Estimates</strong> 2015
6. NOAA, Frequently Asked QuestionsAbout El Niño and La Niña, April 2012,available at http://goo.gl/dAx2eY7. Climate Central, Climate ChangeCould Double Likelihood of Super ElNiños, 19 January 2014, available athttp://goo.gl/G6zGJy8. ibid9. Golden Gate Weather Services, ElNiño and La Niña Years and Intensities,based on Oceanic Niño Index(ONI), updated 8 June 2015, availableat http://goo.gl/DQmPWw10. NOAA, Flooding in China, summer1998, 20 November 1998, available athttps://goo.gl/gsNwco11. NOAA, Top Weather and ClimateStories of 1998, 6 January 1999,available at http://goo.gl/edMNIX12. IFRC, Central America: HurricaneMitch, situation report no.04, 19 November1998, p.2, available at http://goo.gl/6IZLMT13. ibid; Associated Press, One year afterMitch, thousands still homeless inHonduras, 25 October 1999, availableat http://goo.gl/P3aKly14. Brookings-Bern, Displacement,Natural Disasters and Human Rights,17 October 2008, available at http://goo.gl/PQwCjo, and Barnes and Riverstone,World Bank 2010, available athttp://goo.gl/shMrGu15. World Bank/GFDRR, Disaster RiskManagement in Central America:Honduras, available at http://goo.gl/DedJV416. BBC, Honduras struggles 10 years afterMitch, 30 October 2008, availableat http://goo.gl/9dn92717. Ensor M O, The Legacy of HurricaneMitch: Lessons from Post-disaster Reconstructionin Honduras, Universityof Arizona Press, 2009, p.25; WorldBank/GFDRR, Disaster Risk Managementin Central America: Honduras,p.52, available at http://goo.gl/DedJV4; FAO, Analysis of the MediumtermEffects of Hurricane Mitch onFood Security in Central America,2001, p.58, available at http://goo.gl/RACAZK18. ibid FAO, p.1; Ensor M O, The Legacyof Hurricane Mitch: Lessons fromPost-disaster Reconstruction inHonduras, University of Arizona Press,2009, p.3919. IDMC, Global <strong>Estimates</strong> 2014, September2014, p.23, available at http://goo.gl/ssfBXQSection 41. World Bank, Harmonised list of fragilesituations, 2014, available at http://goo.gl/dOaDSNBosnia and Herzegovina spotlight2. UN, World Bank, EU; Bosnia andHerzegovina Floods, 2014: RecoveryNeeds Assessment, July 2014, p.16,available at http://goo.gl/ukHZtG3. BBC, Deadly floods return to Serbiaand Bosnia, 6 August 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/Pgj6Cy4. UN, World Bank, EU; Bosnia andHerzegovina Floods, 2014: RecoveryNeeds Assessment, July 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/ukHZtG5. OCHA, Financial Tracking Service,Balkans: Floods - May 2014, Totalfunding and outstanding pledges as of18 May 2015, available at https://goo.gl/KUJSZa6. Deutsche Welle, Reeling from thefloods, Bosnians’ anger surfaces, 7July 2014, available at http://goo.gl/G06Z0J7. OSCE, Information Note on Flood-Affected Municipalities in Serbiaand Bosnia and Herzegovina, EEF.GAL/6/15/Rev.2/Add.1, 8 May 20158. UNGA, Report of the independentexpert on minority issues, Rita Izsak,mission to Bosnia and Herzegovina,A/HRC/22/40/Add.1, 31 December2012, p.2, available at http://goo.gl/DyM2EH9. IOM, Impact of the Floods and Landslidesin Bosnia and Herzegovina onthe Affected Roma Population: FirstAssessment Results, June 2014, p.110. UN, World Bank, EU; Bosnia andHerzegovina Floods, 2014: RecoveryNeeds Assessment, July 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/ukHZtG11. Some authorities supported localintegration of IDPs by building themhouses.12. HRW, Second Class Citizens; DiscriminationAgainst Roma, Jews, and OtherNational Minorities in Bosnia andHerzegovina’, April 2012, p.4, availableat http://goo.gl/085aEq13. UN, World Bank, EU; Bosnia andHerzegovina Floods, 2014: RecoveryNeeds Assessment, July 2014, p.81,available at http://goo.gl/ukHZtG14. Recovery Needs Assessment,Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina,July 2014, pg. 81, availableat http://europa.ba/Download.aspx?id=1521&lang=EN15. WMO, Strengthening Multi-HazardEarly Warning Systems and RiskAssessment in the Western Balkansand Turkey: Assessment of Capacities,Gaps and Needs, 2012, p.34, availableat https://goo.gl/LE1Dkx16. ibid17. UNDP, WMO; IPA Beneficiary NeedsAssessment Bosnia & Herzegovina,September 2011, available at http://goo.gl/UywGJY18. ICPDR, Report on Achievements inFlood Protection in the Danube RiverBasin, 22 November 2010, p.32, availableat http://goo.gl/SMfExV19. Ministry of Security of BiH, OSCE,UNDP, RACVIAC; Conclusions andrecommendations of the RegionalConference “Floods in South EasternEurope – lessons learned and nextsteps”, November 2014, available athttp://goo.gl/X4g2HSSection 4 - continued20. UNESCO, Earthquake and tsunami inChile: Effective regional cooperationand preparedness save lives, 2 April2014, available at http://goo.gl/IpibSb21. EERI, M8.2 Iquique, Chile Earthquakeand Tsunami: Preliminary ReconnaissanceObservations,15 April 2015,available at https://goo.gl/LunqJN22. Al Jazeera, Magnitude 8 quake hits offcoast of Chile, 1 April 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/tZyMe323. RT News, 900,000 evacuated as 8.2earthquake rattles Chile, 02 April2014, available at http://goo.gl/tZRWW424. UNESCO, 2 April 2014, op cit.25. ibid; New York Times, Earthquake hitsoff North Coast of Chile, 1 April 2014,available at http://goo.gl/dqkp2A26. UNESCO, 2 April 2014, op cit.27. Nature, Continuing megathrust earthquakepotential in Chile after the 2014Iquique earthquake, 13 August 2014,pp.295-98, available at http://goo.gl/hN3orY (subscription required)28. Government of Chile, Statement madeat the Third UN World Conference onDisaster Risk Reduction (WCDRR),March 2015, available at http://goo.gl/R4jkAi29. Weather Network, Typhoon Hagupitmakes landfall in the Philippines, 6 December2014, available at http://goo.gl/ge605X; CNN, 38 confirmed deadas Typhoon Rammasun cuts acrossthe Philippines, 17 July 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/swbGVo30. NDRRMC, Final Report re Effects ofTyphoon Glenda (Rammasun), 13-17July 2014, available at http://goo.gl/7y5RqI31. NDRRMC Sitrep No.12 re Effects ofTyphoon “Ruby” (Hagupit), 9 December2014, available at http://goo.gl/zcXB5C32. NDRRMC, Sitrep No.7 re PreparednessMeasures for Typhoon “Ruby”(Hagupit), 7 December 2014, availableat http://goo.gl/0N50UZ33. “Super Typhoon 22W (Hagupit) WarningNr 013”. Joint Typhoon WarningCentre, 04 December 2014, availableat . Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Archivedfrom the original on 4 December2014. Retrieved 5 December 2014.101
- Page 1:
Global Estimates 2015People displac
- Page 4 and 5:
IDMC core project teamCoordinator/l
- Page 7 and 8:
5. Mind your assumptions: Protracte
- Page 9 and 10:
FIGURES, TABLES AND MAPSFigure 2.1:
- Page 11 and 12:
Modelled global displacement trend
- Page 13 and 14:
1INTRODUCTIONSince 2008, an average
- Page 15 and 16:
2CONCEPTUALISINGDISPLACEMENTin the
- Page 17 and 18:
Box 2.1: Slow-onset hazards and gra
- Page 19 and 20:
Repeated and frequent displacementR
- Page 21 and 22:
3THE GLOBAL PICTUREScale, patterns
- Page 23 and 24:
Figure 3.2: Global displacement by
- Page 25 and 26:
Box 3.1: “Super” El Niño and d
- Page 27 and 28:
While more resilient families may b
- Page 30 and 31:
28 Global Estimates 2015A woman sta
- Page 32 and 33:
4.1 RegionsAs in previous years, As
- Page 34 and 35:
4.2 CountriesThe number of people d
- Page 36 and 37:
forward, the municipalities of Pasc
- Page 38 and 39:
4.4 The big three: China, India and
- Page 40 and 41:
Map 4.1: Philippines regions affect
- Page 42 and 43:
Displacement caused by seasonalfloo
- Page 44 and 45:
4.6 Multiple hazards in fragile and
- Page 46 and 47:
SPOTLIGHTAFGHANISTANBlurred lines b
- Page 48 and 49:
46 Global Estimates 2015A displaced
- Page 50 and 51:
The global data presented in this r
- Page 52 and 53: The international experts we interv
- Page 54 and 55: perstorm Sandy in 2009, and indigen
- Page 56 and 57: SPOTLIGHTPAPUA NEW GUINEAManam isla
- Page 58 and 59: SPOTLIGHTINDONESIASidoarjo mudflow
- Page 60 and 61: SPOTLIGHTBANGLADESHSix years after
- Page 62 and 63: Figure 5.4: Movement of IDPs from a
- Page 64 and 65: SPOTLIGHTHAITIChronic vulnerability
- Page 66 and 67: Conditions have continued to deteri
- Page 68 and 69: Map 5.3: Ongoing displacement in th
- Page 70 and 71: The mental and physical health ofID
- Page 72 and 73: SPOTLIGHTUNITED STATESDisplaced peo
- Page 74: assistance available and implementa
- Page 77 and 78: 6THE POST-2015GLOBAL POLICYAGENDAKe
- Page 79 and 80: A landslide devastated villages in
- Page 81 and 82: ANNEX AMethodologyIDMC’s annual G
- Page 83 and 84: protracted displacement situations
- Page 85 and 86: Data on housing rendereduninhabitab
- Page 87 and 88: Modelling and calibration usingthe
- Page 89 and 90: We also asked each interviewee toth
- Page 91 and 92: RankingCountry Hazard Affected area
- Page 93 and 94: * Text in parentheses indicates the
- Page 95 and 96: Country DisasterStartdateTotal no.
- Page 98 and 99: Country DisasterStartdateTotal no.
- Page 100 and 101: Country DisasterStartdateTotal no.
- Page 104 and 105: 34. NDRRMC, SitRep No.27 re Effects
- Page 106 and 107: nation Group, October 2009, availab
- Page 108: digidepo_8841940_po_076709.pdf?cont