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Strategy for a Sustainable Region Priority ... - One Bay Area

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Figure 22<br />

PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet<br />

PDA name: Sunnyvale El Camino Real Version: Baseline<br />

#<br />

Readiness<br />

Criteria Category<br />

# Sub-Criterion Name<br />

Present (2012)<br />

PDA Development Readiness Scoring<br />

2020 2030 2040 Notes<br />

A<br />

PDA Housing<br />

Capacity<br />

Estimate<br />

1 Estimate of current local land use policy<br />

new housing capacity<br />

2,850<br />

City said current PDA has max capacity of 2850 more than existing;<br />

CD+A estimated ~2700 on 107 acres of opportunity sites; City<br />

estimated 912 new DUs in PDA in next 8 years<br />

2 Plan Bay Area new housing allocation<br />

4,412<br />

The increment of new housing allocated to the PDA in Plan Bay<br />

Area<br />

A-64<br />

3 Capacity surplus or (shortfall) (1,562)<br />

4 Estimated increased capacity through<br />

likely changes to land use policy,<br />

including any initiative-based density<br />

restrictions (percentage change to<br />

existing capacity) 0% 20% 40%<br />

Difference between estimated housing capacity (2012) and<br />

allocation<br />

City's "Horizon 2035" Advisory Committee thought PDA could add<br />

4000 units, similar to ABAG allocation. EPS assumes such rezoning<br />

may be pursued within next ~15 years.<br />

5 Estimated gross housing capacity<br />

at each period 2,850 3,420 3,990<br />

6<br />

Sum of Capacity Constraint<br />

Coefficients<br />

0.55 0.30 0.20<br />

Near-term constraints include lower-density zoning than required to<br />

meet PDA allocation, redevelopment of productive uses, and parcel<br />

sizes/configurations as well as slow overall growth in the City.<br />

Zoning changes and strong market may facilitate improvement in<br />

longer term, but physical constraints still present.<br />

7<br />

EPS estimate of housing production<br />

given constraints<br />

1,283 2,394 3,192<br />

Figure exceeds current planned capacity, but still short of allocation.<br />

8<br />

Primary issue is the significant shortfall of capacity compared to<br />

allocation.<br />

Percentage of PDA 2040 housing<br />

allocation accommodated<br />

29.1% 54.3% 72.3%<br />

Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 1 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513

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