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Figure 59 PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet PDA name: Oakland MacArthur Station Version: Amended # Readiness Criteria Category # Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012) PDA Development Readiness Scoring 2020 2030 2040 Notes A PDA Housing Capacity Estimate 1 Estimate of current local land use policy new housing capacity 3,577 CD+A identified 45 acres of underutilized sites that could achieve 3,577 DUs at average of 80 DU/acre. Number is slightly higher than City's estimate from Housing Element sites analysis. A-176 2 Plan Bay Area new housing allocation 3 Capacity surplus or (shortfall) (1,515) 4 Estimated increased capacity through likely changes to land use policy, including any initiative-based density restrictions (percentage change to existing capacity) 0% 10% 25% 5,092 The increment of new housing allocated to the PDA in Plan Bay Area Difference between estimated housing capacity (2012) and allocation Amendment assumes area will have modest increase in allowable density over time, but quantitative impact is limited due to largely built-out conditions in this PDA. This assumption equates to increase in average density from 80 to 100 DU/acre on 45 underutilized acres identified by CD+A. 5 Estimated gross housing capacity at each period 3,577 3,935 4,471 6 7 Sum of Capacity Constraint Coefficients EPS estimate of housing production given constraints 0.70 0.45 0.30 1,073 2,164 3,130 Redevelopment of existing uses represents a major challenge in this area, but history shows this will occur over time. Amendment assumes Redevelopment-type resources will improve viability of new projects and infrastructure investment. Exceeds the pace of growth from 2000-2010 as reported by Census. 8 Percentage of PDA 2040 housing allocation accommodated 21.1% 42.5% 61.5% Allocation appears to significantly exceed physical/regulatory capacity even with aggressive upzoning assumption, and challenges of redeveloping parcels constrains pace of growth. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 1 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513
Figure 59 PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet PDA name: Oakland MacArthur Station Version: Amended # Readiness Criteria Category # Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012) PDA Development Readiness Scoring 2020 2030 2040 Notes B Planning and Entitlement Criteria 1 Displacement of existing stable residential neighborhoods 0.05 0.05 0.05 Largely builtout urban area requires redevelopment of existing uses, some of which are lower-density housing sites. Major opportunity site is MacArthur BART station land, planned for 624 units. 2 Time required and difficulty in obtaining entitlement: institutional capacity and jurisdictional track record 2010 survey says most large planning documents (EIR, General Plan, zoning, etc.) have been adopted, and that zoning amendments were expected by 2012. Multifamily projects are estimated to take 6- 12 months for approvals, and commercial/mixed-use take 12-18 months. A-177 0.00 0.00 0.00 C Community Support 1 Elected official support for proposed PDA use types and densities during past 3 years 0.00 0.00 0.00 Council has approved numerous mutlifamily projects in and around PDA in recent years. 2 History of neighborhood opposition 0.05 0.05 0.05 Mixed feelings in neighborhood, and particular concern about development over 4 stories on major corridors. Approved projects are frequently appealed, adding time. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 2 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513
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Draft March 2013 Strategy for a Sus
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Final Report PDA Readiness Assessme
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1. REPORT SUMMARY AND FINDINGS Plan
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Table 1 Summary of PDA Readiness As
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PDA Readiness Assessment Final Repo
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2. STUDY BACKGROUND Over the past s
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3. PDA DEVELOPMENT READINESS ASSESS
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Table 2 Capacity Assessment for Sel
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Table 3 PDA Readiness Criteria Work
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Table 3 PDA Readiness Criteria Work
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5. POLICY ACTIONS TO IMPROVE DEVELO
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A-1 Units 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,0
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Figure 2 PDA Readiness Criteria Wor
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7,000 6,000 5,000 Figure 9: Redwood
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Figure 10 PDA Readiness Criteria Wo
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3,000 2,500 Figure 21: San Mateo El
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3,000 2,500 Figure 33: Antioch Hill
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