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Figure 4 PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet PDA name: Hayward Downtown Version: Baseline # Readiness Criteria Category # Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012) PDA Development Readiness Scoring 2020 2030 2040 Notes A PDA Housing Capacity Estimate 1 Estimate of current local land use policy new housing capacity 5,159 Downtown Hayward Design Plan and Core Area Plan were adopted in 1992, and Route 238 Corridor Improvement Project plan is ongoing. Zoning and General Plan are up to date, reflect higher density mixed-use development opportunities in Downtown. CD+A identified 68.7 acres of opportunity sites, which can accommodate nearly 7,000 housing units at maximum zoning allowances (up to 100 DU/acre). Most Downtown area zoned for 45-65 DU-acre. 2 Plan Bay Area new housing allocation 3,223 The increment of new housing allocated to the PDA in Plan Bay Area 3 Capacity surplus or (shortfall) 1,936 Difference between estimated housing capacity (2012) and allocation A-10 4 Estimated increased capacity through likely changes to land use policy, including any initiative-based density restrictions (percentage change to existing capacity) 0% 0% 0% 5 Estimated gross housing capacity at each period 5,159 5,159 5,159 6 Sum of Capacity Constraint Coefficients 0.80 0.50 0.35 Modest housing prices and costs to redevelop existing uses are the primary constraint, as zoning, community support, and infrastructure are largely in place. 7 EPS estimate of housing production given constraints 1,032 2,580 3,353 Very high capacity allows achievement of PDA allocation by 2040, even assuming less than 2/3 of opportunity sites are built to capacity. Figures exceed the pace of growth from 2000-2010 as reported by Census, due to recent infrastructure improvements and trends showing increased market interest. 8 Percentage of PDA 2040 housing allocation accommodated 32.0% 80.0% 104.0% Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 1 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513
Figure 4 PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet PDA name: Hayward Downtown Version: Baseline # Readiness Criteria Category # Sub-Criterion Name Present (2012) PDA Development Readiness Scoring 2020 2030 2040 Notes B Planning and Entitlement Criteria 1 Displacement of existing stable residential neighborhoods 0.00 0.00 0.00 Opportunity sites are mostly older commercial developed at well below maximum allowable densities. No residential disruption. 2 Time required and difficulty in obtaining entitlement: institutional capacity and jurisdictional track record Typical process takes 3-6 months without zoning change, 6-12 months if needs to go to Commission or Council. No programmatic EIR readily available to assist in expediting environmental review. 0.00 0.00 0.00 A-11 C Community Support 1 Elected official support for proposed PDA use types and densities during past 3 years 0.05 0.00 0.00 Council has had some resistance to developing higher-density housing on former Mervyn's site, because officials are interested in retail for fiscal reasons. However, ACTC survey indicates Council would like to update Downtown Plan if funding for planning is available. 2 History of neighborhood opposition 0.00 0.00 0.00 Staff says Mission Boulevard projects for higher density development and form-based code have been supported by the community. Through recent Cal Poly study, community was supportive of "complete neighborhood" including housing, retail, parks, etc. ACTC survey says zoning already allows much more density than currently exists, and neighbors would oppose further intensified zoning. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 2 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513
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Draft March 2013 Strategy for a Sus
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Final Report PDA Readiness Assessme
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1. REPORT SUMMARY AND FINDINGS Plan
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3,000 2,500 Figure 33: Antioch Hill
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2,500 2,000 Figure 51: Morgan Hill
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Metropolitan Transportation Commiss
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