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Strategy for a Sustainable Region Priority ... - One Bay Area
Strategy for a Sustainable Region Priority ... - One Bay Area
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Figure 52<br />
PDA Readiness Criteria Worksheet<br />
PDA name: Oakland Coliseum Version: Baseline<br />
#<br />
Readiness<br />
Criteria Category<br />
# Sub-Criterion Name<br />
Present (2012)<br />
PDA Development Readiness Scoring<br />
2020 2030 2040 Notes<br />
A-156<br />
D<br />
Market and<br />
Investment<br />
Attractiveness<br />
1<br />
History of real estate investment in PDA<br />
and surrounding city<br />
2 Recent Local Development Activity<br />
3 General Market Conditions<br />
4 Financial Feasibility Constraint<br />
0.20 0.15 0.10<br />
0.05 0.00 0.00<br />
0.10 0.10 0.10<br />
0.15 0.15 0.15<br />
Census suggests that ~1,300 net new units built in PDA between<br />
2000-2010, while Plan would require 228/year for 30 years. Most or<br />
all new housing in this area has been subsidized affordable<br />
development, not market-rate. City says developers are expressing<br />
increased interest in Oakland, but not yet in this area.<br />
2010 survey identified 864 units in the pipeline, including 374<br />
affordable units. Nearly half of pipeline projects were in Coliseum<br />
Transit Village (414 out of 864), which has now been downsized to<br />
~112 DUs on a portion of the site and currently on hold due to<br />
Redevelopment ending (State audit continues through April 2013).<br />
Low income levels, low housing prices, and limited recent<br />
development of market-rate housing indicate market challenges.<br />
Over 31% of all units in 2010 were income-restricted for very low<br />
income.<br />
Achievable market-rate price points in this area are well below levels<br />
required for new construction feasibility. However, allocated growth<br />
can be accommodated at average densities just under 30 DU/acre,<br />
so development costs may be lower than in other PDAs.<br />
5 Parcel size and configuration<br />
Ample.<br />
0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
6 Existence of major investment<br />
disincentives<br />
0.20 0.20 0.15<br />
2010 survey identified poverty, crime, and low quality schools as<br />
major deterrents, in addition to industrial nature of the area. Two of<br />
three sports teams have indicated expectation to leave Oakland in<br />
coming years. EPS score assumes these situations modestly<br />
improve over time.<br />
Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 3/26/2013 Page 3 of 4 P:\121000\121113MTC\Readiness_Assessment Process\PDA Readiness Assessment\DS_Readiness Assessment_032513